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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes37%
No63%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance39.2%
37.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$155.25
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
255.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4f5429db...aa65cd
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-november-3-2026-19c