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NoYesNoYesYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$306.16
Combined PnL
$33.05
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$306.16
Total Shares306
Combined PnL+$37.17
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$4.12
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 87.9¢ | $268.99 | $306.16 | +$37.17 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
BE berlinskiesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.8¢ | $4.12 | — | -$4.12 | 58% 5892-4319 (10211) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1908-1873 (3781) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4495-9638 (14133) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 16080-28084 (44164) |
24
241532532432Invested
$268.99
Value
$306.16
PnL
+$37.17
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
BE
berlinskiesCTR<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
—
PnL
-$4.12
Record
58%
5892-4319 (10211)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1908-1873 (3781)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4495-9638 (14133)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
16080-28084 (44164)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x41a40be3...0d8560
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-november-1-2026-17c