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No
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
$1.39
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$1.39
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 95.9¢ | $19.18 | $20 | +$1.39 | 59% 1805-1255 (3060) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21091-13428 (34519) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6540-5754 (12294) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13766-10533 (24299) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15508-27510 (43018) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$19.18
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.39
Record
59%
1805-1255 (3060)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21091-13428 (34519)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6540-5754 (12294)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13766-10533 (24299)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15508-27510 (43018)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc33614da...832c21
Slug
highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-october-30-2026-82-83f