Back to Markets
No
IstarothNoYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 67%
Total Value
$396.67
Combined PnL
$18.32
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$396.67
Total Shares397
Combined PnL+$119.45
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,112
Combined PnL-$101.13
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 87.8¢ | $208.62 | $294.43 | +$85.81 | 59% 1862-1301 (3163) |
Istaroth | Noavg 84¢ | $68.6 | $102.24 | +$33.64 | 19% 335-1419 (1754) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $101.13 | — | -$101.13 | 47% 682-762 (1444) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15698-27712 (43410) |
24
241532532432Invested
$208.62
Value
$294.43
PnL
+$85.81
Record
59%
1862-1301 (3163)
IstarothInvested
$68.6
Value
$102.24
PnL
+$33.64
Record
19%
335-1419 (1754)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$101.13
Value
—
PnL
-$101.13
Record
47%
682-762 (1444)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15698-27712 (43410)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xef36304a...6bbaec
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-31-2026-14corhigher