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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 29?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$408.99
Combined PnL
-$91.2
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$408.99
Total Shares409
Combined PnL+$16.94
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,190
Combined PnL-$108.14
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 95.9¢ | $392.05 | $408.99 | +$16.94 | 59% 1694-1159 (2853) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $108.14 | — | -$108.14 | 51% 611-597 (1208) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20901-13305 (34206) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6441-5643 (12084) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13390-10234 (23624) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 97.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15176-27300 (42476) |
24
241532532432Invested
$392.05
Value
$408.99
PnL
+$16.94
Record
59%
1694-1159 (2853)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTRInvested
$108.14
Value
—
PnL
-$108.14
Record
51%
611-597 (1208)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20901-13305 (34206)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6441-5643 (12084)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13390-10234 (23624)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15176-27300 (42476)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf5c2f9dc...3b170b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-29-2026-14c