Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?

Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 100%

Total Value

$21.2

Combined PnL

$11.64

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$21.2

Total Shares21

Combined PnL+$11.64

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 67%Yes — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
24 241532532432<$100	Noavg 45.1¢	$9.56	$21.2	+$11.64	61% 1552-1005 (2557)
balthazar<$100	Noavg 68.8¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20602-13057 (33659)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 41.2¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1636-1625 (3261)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 57.5¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6279-5507 (11786)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 43.3¢	—	—	+$0	46% 567-659 (1226)
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 69¢	—	—	+$0	57% 12984-9900 (22884)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.5¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4325-9298 (13623)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 53.9¢	—	—	+$0	29% 279-667 (946)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 52.2¢	—	—	+$0	35% 14716-26896 (41612)

241532532432<$100

Invested

$9.56

Value

$21.2

PnL

+$11.64

Record

61%

1552-1005 (2557)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20602-13057 (33659)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1636-1625 (3261)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6279-5507 (11786)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

567-659 (1226)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

12984-9900 (22884)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4325-9298 (13623)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

29%

279-667 (946)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

14716-26896 (41612)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x963f5967...0d606f

Slug

highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-27-2026-17c

Traders in this Market

241532532432

No — $21.2

balthazar

No — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $0

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Istaroth

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket