Back to Markets
NoYesNoNo
tradecraft<$100NoNo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$785.78
Combined PnL
$105.96
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 5 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$755.35
Total Shares755
Combined PnL+$105.96
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 85.6¢ | $554.52 | $641.42 | +$86.89 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | $64.79 | $30.43 | -$34.36 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 13¢ | $34.97 | — | -$34.97 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 98¢ | $29.82 | $30.43 | +$0.61 | |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $53.38 | $62.07 | +$8.69 | 47% 1088-1236 (2324) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $25.97 | $32.46 | +$6.49 | 38% 1230-1969 (3199) |
![]() tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $7.98 | $9.98 | +$2 | 33% 427-868 (1295) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $7.53 | $9.41 | +$1.88 | 38% 1223-2021 (3244) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$554.52
Value
$641.42
PnL
+$86.89
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$64.79
Value
$30.43
PnL
-$34.36
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Both legs:
Yes$34.9713¢-$34.97
No$29.8298¢+$0.61
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$53.38
Value
$62.07
PnL
+$8.69
Record
47%
1088-1236 (2324)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$25.97
Value
$32.46
PnL
+$6.49
Record
38%
1230-1969 (3199)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$7.98
Value
$9.98
PnL
+$2
Record
33%
427-868 (1295)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$7.53
Value
$9.41
PnL
+$1.88
Record
38%
1223-2021 (3244)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x05ce859f...a1fcda
Slug
gtm-com-cob-2026-11-14-cob