Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
CD Malacateco vs. CSD Municipal: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Over 25%
$364.82
-$58.05
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 40.3¢ | $103.44 | $238.72 | +$135.28 | 52% 2433-2206 (4639) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 46.7¢ | $279.39 | — | -$279.39 | 49% 4509-4779 (9288) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 31.7¢ | $20.43 | $61.31 | +$40.88 | 37% 1279-2142 (3421) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 38.9¢ | $10.27 | $26.37 | +$16.1 | 38% 1284-2117 (3401) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 51¢ | $10.2 | $20 | +$9.8 | 83% 921-190 (1111) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 26.6¢ | $3.58 | $13.42 | +$9.84 | 38% 1289-2093 (3382) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $1.4 | $5 | +$3.6 | 41% 1150-1638 (2788) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 36% 609-1105 (1714) |
SU suntori<$100 | Underavg 57¢ | $9.52 | $0 | +$7.17 | 46% 3071-3598 (6669) |
Invested
$103.44
Value
$238.72
PnL
+$135.28
Record
52%
2433-2206 (4639)
Invested
$279.39
Value
—
PnL
-$279.39
Record
49%
4509-4779 (9288)
Invested
$20.43
Value
$61.31
PnL
+$40.88
Record
37%
1279-2142 (3421)
Invested
$10.27
Value
$26.37
PnL
+$16.1
Record
38%
1284-2117 (3401)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.8
Record
83%
921-190 (1111)
Invested
$3.58
Value
$13.42
PnL
+$9.84
Record
38%
1289-2093 (3382)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.6
Record
41%
1150-1638 (2788)
Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
36%
609-1105 (1714)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$0
PnL
+$7.17
Record
46%
3071-3598 (6669)