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NoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CD Malacateco vs. CSD Municipal end in a draw?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 20%
Total Value
$284.73
Combined PnL
$14.24
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$284.73
Total Shares285
Combined PnL+$29.44
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$15.2
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 73.2¢ | $255.29 | $284.73 | +$29.44 | 49% 4509-4779 (9288) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $7.52 | — | -$7.52 | 38% 1289-2093 (3382) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 37% 1279-2142 (3421) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 36% 609-1105 (1714) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 29¢ | $7.15 | — | -$2.15 | 48% 2431-2662 (5093) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$255.29
Value
$284.73
PnL
+$29.44
Record
49%
4509-4779 (9288)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$7.52
Value
—
PnL
-$7.52
Record
38%
1289-2093 (3382)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
37%
1279-2142 (3421)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
36%
609-1105 (1714)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
48%
2431-2662 (5093)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd5fd2455...3812d3
Slug
gtm-adm-mun-2026-11-14-draw