Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
En Avant Guingamp vs. AS Saint-Étienne: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Over 67%
$43.21
-$3.13
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO foooool<$100 | Underavg 81¢ | $35 | $43.21 | +$8.21 | 50% 10987-10819 (21806) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 32¢ | $10.64 | — | -$10.64 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
RO Rocky31CTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $5 | — | -$0.7 | 74% 1638-585 (2223) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 78.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
 RN1<$100 | Underavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56824-49050 (105874) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 70.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
DA dashattacker<$100 | Underavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 72% 2476-948 (3424) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12788-13237 (26025) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Overavg 32¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28900-21323 (50223) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 30.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
Invested
$35
Value
$43.21
PnL
+$8.21
Record
50%
10987-10819 (21806)
Invested
$10.64
Value
—
PnL
-$10.64
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
74%
1638-585 (2223)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56824-49050 (105874)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
2476-948 (3424)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12788-13237 (26025)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28900-21323 (50223)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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