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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will United Arab Emirates win on 2026-11-13?

Resolved Yes. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

21

Yes 72%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$13.8K

Combined PnL

$357.37

Smart Money Signal

Yes

16 of 21 top traders (76%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes16 traders
Total Value$13.4K
Total Shares13,384
Combined PnL+$2.4K
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,898
Combined PnL$-2.0K
Yes — 76%No — 24%
CI
cigarettes
Yes

Invested

$4,902.59

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$97.41

Record

53%

6646-5820 (12466)

FL
Flaznorp
Yes

Invested

$11,962.89

Value

$3.4K

PnL

-$942.78

Record

51%

3195-3131 (6326)

SN
SnakeBall
Yes

Invested

$1,348.97

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$59.68

Record

48%

677-745 (1422)

CA
CandleHammerDrums
Yes

Invested

$2,965.3

Value

$897.71

PnL

-$254.43

Record

48%

425-457 (882)

RN1
Yes

Invested

$870

Value

$759.85

PnL

-$110.15

Record

56%

4863-3816 (8679)

VeryLucky888
Yes

Invested

$382.7

Value

$645.32

PnL

+$338.28

Record

53%

1030-921 (1951)

TH
thirdt1me
Yes

Invested

$605

Value

$450

PnL

-$89.86

Record

47%

214-243 (457)

GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100
No

Invested

$2,608.87

Value

$298.23

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

54%

1849-1555 (3404)

Both legs:

Yes$230.377.2¢+$67.93
No$2,378.5746.5¢$-2.4K
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Yes

Invested

$513.42

Value

$392.54

PnL

-$120.87

Record

50%

2262-2219 (4481)

NO
NotJump
Yes

Invested

$296.24

Value

$324.99

PnL

+$28.75

Record

53%

634-568 (1202)

poshposh
Yes

Invested

$216.24

Value

$150

PnL

-$66.24

Record

47%

786-902 (1688)

LI
LightParadoxARB<$100
No

Invested

$788.8

Value

$77.84

PnL

-$710.96

Record

35%

750-1386 (2136)

Both legs:

Yes$35.8146¢+$42.03
No$752.9949.2¢-$752.99
FaroeseNationalistCTR
No

Invested

$1,632.74

Value

—

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

59%

13-9 (22)

LI
LimousinCTR<$100
No

Invested

$81.11

Value

—

PnL

-$81.11

Record

35%

736-1380 (2116)

VE
VenusianCTR
No

Invested

$312.27

Value

—

PnL

-$312.27

Record

34%

736-1405 (2141)

MA
MadridTime<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.95

Value

$17.28

PnL

+$9.33

Record

36%

763-1361 (2124)

SU
suntori
Yes

Invested

$758.81

Value

$7.89

PnL

+$94.32

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)

SE
sentrio<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

43%

809-1065 (1874)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
No

Invested

$17.31

Value

—

PnL

-$2.39

Record

49%

1669-1706 (3375)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

36%

326-587 (913)

FO
ForMyFamily1
Yes

Invested

$1,000

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$774.47

Record

—

4-3 (7)

MA
Mastermoney
Yes

Invested

$3,000

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

6%

8-135 (143)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Yes

Invested

$239

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

75%

112-37 (149)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x36f55aa0...ad646e
Slug
fif-uae-hnd-2026-11-13-uae

Traders in this Market

CI

cigarettes

Yes — $5.0K

+$97.41
FL

Flaznorp

Yes — $3.4K

-$942.78
SN

SnakeBall

Yes — $1.4K

+$59.68
CA

CandleHammerDrums

Yes — $897.71

-$254.43

RN1

Yes — $759.85

-$110.15

VeryLucky888

Yes — $645.32

+$338.28
TH

thirdt1me

Yes — $450

-$89.86
GO

GoalLineGhost

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-2.3K
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Yes — $392.54

-$120.87
NO

NotJump

Yes — $324.99

+$28.75
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