Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
United Arab Emirates vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Over 80%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
$361.93
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 35.8¢ | $470.97 | $932.24 | +$461.27 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 57.1¢ | $249.84 | — | -$249.84 | 56% 4863-3816 (8679) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 36.3¢ | $106.62 | $209.81 | +$103.19 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
SU suntoriARB<$100 | Overavg 44.1¢ | $113.78 | $107.73 | +$34.5 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 44.1¢ | $47.53 | $107.73 | +$69.73 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 58.6¢ | $35.23 | — | -$35.23 | |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 94¢ | $38.93 | $41.41 | +$2.48 | 85% 127-22 (149) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $12.73 | $29.6 | +$16.87 | 53% 1030-921 (1951) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 49.7¢ | $12.42 | $25.01 | +$12.59 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Overavg 34¢ | $6.8 | $20 | +$13.2 | 63% 464-269 (733) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 34¢ | $1.46 | $4.3 | +$2.84 | 36% 252-442 (694) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 39¢ | $0.64 | $1.64 | +$1 | 36% 326-587 (913) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 65¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
Invested
$470.97
Value
$932.24
PnL
+$461.27
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
RN1CTRInvested
$249.84
Value
—
PnL
-$249.84
Record
56%
4863-3816 (8679)
Invested
$106.62
Value
$209.81
PnL
+$103.19
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$113.78
Value
$107.73
PnL
+$34.5
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.93
Value
$41.41
PnL
+$2.48
Record
85%
127-22 (149)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$12.73
Value
$29.6
PnL
+$16.87
Record
53%
1030-921 (1951)
poshposh<$100Invested
$12.42
Value
$25.01
PnL
+$12.59
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$6.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.2
Record
63%
464-269 (733)
Invested
$1.46
Value
$4.3
PnL
+$2.84
Record
36%
252-442 (694)
Invested
$0.64
Value
$1.64
PnL
+$1
Record
36%
326-587 (913)
Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
Over — $932.24
RN1
CTRUnder — $0
Flaznorp
Over — $209.81
suntori
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Vampiro1
Over — $41.41
VeryLucky888
Over — $29.6
poshposh
Over — $25.01
suitcase6628
Over — $20
User7429
Over — $4.3
LuckyLoo
Over — $1.64