Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

United Arab Emirates vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 33%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

$367.6

Over

4 of 10 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Over4 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares3,091

Combined PnL+$461.5

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares836

Combined PnL-$93.9

Over — 40%Under — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Overavg 87¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$46.23	56% 4863-3816 (8679)
FL Flaznorp	Overavg 87¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$41.73	51% 3195-3131 (6326)
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100	Underavg 11.3¢	$220.05	$83.71	-$136.34	54% 1849-1555 (3404)
└ Under leg	Underavg 11.3¢	$146.96	—	-$146.96
└ Over leg	Overavg 87.3¢	$73.09	$83.71	+$10.62
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 11.2¢	$74.6	—	-$74.6	35% 750-1386 (2136)
RO Rocko33<$100	Overavg 96¢	$24	$25	+$1	60% 55-37 (92)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Underavg 12¢	$6.78	—	-$6.78	48% 677-745 (1422)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Underavg 11¢	$5.94	—	-$5.94	34% 736-1405 (2141)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 11¢	$3.05	—	-$3.05	36% 763-1361 (2124)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Underavg 11¢	$1.98	—	-$1.98	49% 1669-1706 (3375)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Underavg 11¢	$1.55	—	-$1.55	35% 736-1380 (2116)
0X 0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8	Overavg 89.4¢	$3.2K	—	+$372.54	45% 15-18 (33)