Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Honduras — but United Arab Emirates won instead.
Spread: United Arab Emirates (-1.5)
Resolved United Arab Emirates. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Honduras. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Honduras 27%
$245.73
-$555.52
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Hondurasavg 65.4¢ | $429.81 | — | -$429.81 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Hondurasavg 68.1¢ | $166.86 | — | -$166.86 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
CI cigarettes | United Arab Emiratesavg 96¢ | $145.63 | $147.37 | +$4.37 | 53% 6646-5820 (12466) |
 poshposh<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 81.6¢ | $38.4 | $43.36 | +$4.95 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 42¢ | $6.3 | $15 | +$8.7 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 23¢ | $2.99 | $13 | +$10.01 | 45% 214-259 (473) |
SE sentrio<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 22¢ | $2.2 | $10 | +$7.8 | 43% 809-1065 (1874) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 33¢ | $8 | $10 | +$6.95 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Hondurasavg 4.1¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 36% 763-1361 (2124) |
VE Venusian<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 25¢ | $1.25 | $5 | +$3.75 | 34% 736-1405 (2141) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | United Arab Emiratesavg 24¢ | $0.48 | $2 | +$1.52 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
Invested
$429.81
Value
—
PnL
-$429.81
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$166.86
Value
—
PnL
-$166.86
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
Invested
$145.63
Value
$147.37
PnL
+$4.37
Record
53%
6646-5820 (12466)
poshposh<$100Invested
$38.4
Value
$43.36
PnL
+$4.95
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$6.3
Value
$15
PnL
+$8.7
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)
Invested
$2.99
Value
$13
PnL
+$10.01
Record
45%
214-259 (473)
Invested
$2.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.8
Record
43%
809-1065 (1874)
Invested
$8
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.95
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
36%
763-1361 (2124)
Invested
$1.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.75
Record
34%
736-1405 (2141)
Invested
$0.48
Value
$2
PnL
+$1.52
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTRHonduras — $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRHonduras — $0
cigarettes
United Arab Emirates — $147.37
poshposh
United Arab Emirates — $43.36
LightParadox
United Arab Emirates — $15
Forecastication2
United Arab Emirates — $13
sentrio
United Arab Emirates — $10
ferdinand2
United Arab Emirates — $10
MadridTime
CTRHonduras — $0
Venusian
United Arab Emirates — $5