Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Honduras win on 2026-11-13?
Resolved No. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
No 61%
$15.3K
-$575.93
Smart Money Signal
14 of 24 top traders (58%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadox | Noavg 86.4¢ | $3.4K | $4.0K | +$540.93 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 96.7¢ | $3.1K | $3.2K | +$100.89 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 94.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$120.2 | 36% 763-1361 (2124) |
 RN1 | Noavg 96.8¢ | $2.1K | $1.9K | -$188.06 | 56% 4863-3816 (8679) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 95.4¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$65.82 | 35% 736-1380 (2116) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 96.6¢ | $1.8K | $1.3K | -$423.75 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Noavg 95¢ | $804.11 | $804.26 | +$0.16 | 50% 2262-2219 (4481) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 92¢ | $214.15 | $232.75 | +$18.6 | 34% 736-1405 (2141) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $317.18 | — | -$317.18 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
 poshposh<$100 | Noavg 95.7¢ | $51.39 | $53.09 | +$1.7 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | $28.5 | $30 | +$1.5 | 36% 326-587 (913) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $14.23 | $19.23 | +$5 | 56% 309-246 (555) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $65.52 | $18.01 | +$5.07 | 53% 1030-921 (1951) |
 FaroeseNationalistCTR | Yesavg 24¢ | $373.2 | — | -$373.2 | 59% 13-9 (22) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 94.4¢ | $14.8 | $6.81 | +$0.8 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $20.81 | — | -$20.81 | 53% 634-568 (1202) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.2¢ | $22.2 | — | -$22.2 | 48% 425-457 (882) |
SU suntori<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $3.22 | $2.03 | -$5.94 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 25.7¢ | $71.56 | — | -$71.56 | 45% 214-259 (473) |
SP spyGoodLuck77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 8% 27-316 (343) |
WA waiermaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 10% 11-100 (111) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 53% 6646-5820 (12466) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 43% 809-1065 (1874) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $33 | — | +$0 | 75% 112-37 (149) |
Invested
$3,433.82
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$540.93
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)
Invested
$3,099.37
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$100.89
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
Invested
$2,159.79
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$120.2
Record
36%
763-1361 (2124)
RN1Invested
$2,110.99
Value
$1.9K
PnL
-$188.06
Record
56%
4863-3816 (8679)
Invested
$1,376.56
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$65.82
Record
35%
736-1380 (2116)
Invested
$1,765.11
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$423.75
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$804.11
Value
$804.26
PnL
+$0.16
Record
50%
2262-2219 (4481)
Invested
$214.15
Value
$232.75
PnL
+$18.6
Record
34%
736-1405 (2141)
Invested
$317.18
Value
—
PnL
-$317.18
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
poshposh<$100Invested
$51.39
Value
$53.09
PnL
+$1.7
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$28.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.5
Record
36%
326-587 (913)
Invested
$14.23
Value
$19.23
PnL
+$5
Record
56%
309-246 (555)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$65.52
Value
$18.01
PnL
+$5.07
Record
53%
1030-921 (1951)
FaroeseNationalistCTRInvested
$373.2
Value
—
PnL
-$373.2
Record
59%
13-9 (22)
Invested
$14.8
Value
$6.81
PnL
+$0.8
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
Invested
$20.81
Value
—
PnL
-$20.81
Record
53%
634-568 (1202)
Invested
$22.2
Value
—
PnL
-$22.2
Record
48%
425-457 (882)
Invested
$3.22
Value
$2.03
PnL
-$5.94
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
Invested
$71.56
Value
—
PnL
-$71.56
Record
45%
214-259 (473)
Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
8%
27-316 (343)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
10%
11-100 (111)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
53%
6646-5820 (12466)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
43%
809-1065 (1874)
Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
75%
112-37 (149)