Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

United Arab Emirates vs. Honduras: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 44%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$431.68

Combined PnL

-$215.17

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares594
Combined PnL-$251.21
Over5 traders
Total Value$79.15
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$36.04
Under — 44%Over — 56%
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
Under

Invested

$395.45

Value

$352.53

PnL

-$42.91

Record

51%

3195-3131 (6326)

Both legs:

Over$150.0342.6¢+$202.51
Under$245.4250.1¢-$245.42
LI
LightParadoxCTR
Under

Invested

$169.14

Value

—

PnL

-$169.14

Record

35%

750-1386 (2136)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$47.61

Value

—

PnL

-$47.61

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)

LI
LimousinCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$26.35

Value

—

PnL

-$26.35

Record

35%

736-1380 (2116)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100
Over

Invested

$12.6

Value

$27.59

PnL

+$14.99

Record

98%

343-6 (349)

VeryLucky888<$100
Over

Invested

$14.89

Value

$22.56

PnL

+$7.67

Record

53%

1030-921 (1951)

US
User7429<$100
Over

Invested

$9.12

Value

$19

PnL

+$9.88

Record

36%

252-442 (694)

RN1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$8.11

Value

—

PnL

-$8.11

Record

56%

4863-3816 (8679)

VE
Venusian<$100
Over

Invested

$1.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.05

Record

34%

736-1405 (2141)

VA
Vampiro1<$100
Over

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.45

Record

85%

127-22 (149)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xdd0973df...b6f29c
Slug
fif-uae-hnd-2026-11-13-first-half-total-0pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$42.91
LI

LightParadox

CTR

Under — $0

-$169.14
SU

suntori

CTR

Under — $0

-$47.61
LI

Limousin

CTR

Under — $0

-$26.35
0X

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Over — $27.59

+$14.99

VeryLucky888

Over — $22.56

+$7.67
US

User7429

Over — $19

+$9.88

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

-$8.11
VE

Venusian

Over — $5

+$3.05
VA

Vampiro1

Over — $5

+$0.45
Trade on Polymarket