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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

United Arab Emirates vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Yes. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

No 40%

Total Value

$776.08

Combined PnL

-$319.19

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders

Total Value$776.08

Total Shares776

Combined PnL+$237.13

No4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares991

Combined PnL-$556.32

Yes — 64%No — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105	Yesavg 98.7¢	$319.35	$323.55	+$4.2	98% 343-6 (349)
LI LightParadox	Yesavg 49¢	$87.67	$178.91	+$91.24	35% 750-1386 (2136)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Noavg 50.3¢	$229.54	—	-$229.54	51% 3195-3131 (6326)
LI Limousin	Yesavg 48.9¢	$64.52	$131.91	+$67.39	35% 736-1380 (2116)
SU suntori	Yesavg 48¢	$59.04	$123	+$63.96	46% 2104-2463 (4567)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Yesavg 42¢	$4.2	$10	+$5.8	49% 1669-1706 (3375)
VE Venusian<$100	Yesavg 48¢	$4.18	$8.71	+$4.53	34% 736-1405 (2141)
VeryLucky888CTR	Noavg 51.3¢	$184.16	—	-$182.63	53% 1030-921 (1951)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Noavg 58¢	$143.65	—	-$143.65	48% 677-745 (1422)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Noavg 1¢	$0.5	—	-$0.5	53% 6646-5820 (12466)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Yesavg 50¢	$1.3K	—	+$0	75% 112-37 (149)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Invested

$319.35

Value

$323.55

PnL

+$4.2

Record

98%

343-6 (349)

Invested

$87.67

Value

$178.91

PnL

+$91.24

Record

35%

750-1386 (2136)

Invested

$229.54

Value

—

PnL

-$229.54

Record

51%

3195-3131 (6326)

Invested

$64.52

Value

$131.91

PnL

+$67.39

Record

35%

736-1380 (2116)

Invested

$59.04

Value

$123

PnL

+$63.96

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)

ferdinand2<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.8

Record

49%

1669-1706 (3375)

Invested

$4.18

Value

$8.71

PnL

+$4.53

Record

34%

736-1405 (2141)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$184.16

Value

—

PnL

-$182.63

Record

53%

1030-921 (1951)

Invested

$143.65

Value

—

PnL

-$143.65

Record

48%

677-745 (1422)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

53%

6646-5820 (12466)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$1,310

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

75%

112-37 (149)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe0366fb6...7ede94

Slug

fif-uae-hnd-2026-11-13-btts

Traders in this Market

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Yes — $323.55

LightParadox

Yes — $178.91

Flaznorp

No — $0

Limousin

Yes — $131.91

suntori

Yes — $123

ferdinand2

Yes — $10

Venusian

Yes — $8.71

VeryLucky888

No — $0

SnakeBall

No — $0

cigarettes

No — $0

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