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No
poshposhNoNo
dips.<$100NoNoYesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Tahiti vs. Cook Islands end in a draw?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 83%
Total Value
$601.04
Combined PnL
$58.93
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$601.04
Total Shares601
Combined PnL+$62.84
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$3.92
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 76.9¢ | $351.35 | $374.6 | +$23.25 | 37% 996-1673 (2669) |
poshposh | Noavg 81.1¢ | $150.47 | $180.32 | +$29.85 | 48% 1079-1157 (2236) |
CI cigarettes | Noavg 80¢ | $357.33 | $31.08 | +$31.99 | 53% 7024-6169 (13193) |
dips.<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $9.1 | $10 | +$0.9 | 47% 954-1080 (2034) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $4.5 | $5.06 | +$0.56 | 39% 3636-5765 (9401) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.5¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 43% 354-460 (814) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.8¢ | $4.76 | — | -$1.37 | 46% 2546-3015 (5561) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | $99.17 | — | -$23.71 | 25% 1311-3950 (5261) |
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$351.35
Value
$374.6
PnL
+$23.25
Record
37%
996-1673 (2669)
poshposhInvested
$150.47
Value
$180.32
PnL
+$29.85
Record
48%
1079-1157 (2236)
CI
cigarettesInvested
$357.33
Value
$31.08
PnL
+$31.99
Record
53%
7024-6169 (13193)
dips.<$100Invested
$9.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.9
Record
47%
954-1080 (2034)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.56
Record
39%
3636-5765 (9401)
0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
43%
354-460 (814)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
—
PnL
-$1.37
Record
46%
2546-3015 (5561)
AH
aHjCz<$100Invested
$99.17
Value
—
PnL
-$23.71
Record
25%
1311-3950 (5261)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe1d7d586...7e0ab9
Slug
fif-tah-cok-2026-11-14-draw