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poshposhCTR<$100YesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Cook Islands win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$141.57
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 7 top traders (100%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,122
Combined PnL-$141.57
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.4¢ | $37.62 | — | -$37.62 | 48% 1079-1157 (2236) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.5¢ | $27.2 | — | -$27.2 | 37% 996-1673 (2669) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $31.33 | — | -$31.33 | 39% 3636-5765 (9401) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.4¢ | $10.32 | — | -$10.32 | 24% 54-167 (221) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.5¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 43% 354-460 (814) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 45% 788-969 (1757) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $95.91 | — | -$33.34 | 25% 1311-3950 (5261) |
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$37.62
Value
—
PnL
-$37.62
Record
48%
1079-1157 (2236)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$27.2
Value
—
PnL
-$27.2
Record
37%
996-1673 (2669)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$31.33
Value
—
PnL
-$31.33
Record
39%
3636-5765 (9401)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100Invested
$10.32
Value
—
PnL
-$10.32
Record
24%
54-167 (221)
0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
43%
354-460 (814)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
45%
788-969 (1757)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$95.91
Value
—
PnL
-$33.34
Record
25%
1311-3950 (5261)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9352647b...91440d
Slug
fif-tah-cok-2026-11-14-cok