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alpheclabs2CTR<$100UnderOverUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Suriname vs. Eswatini: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 83%
Total Value
$17.57
Combined PnL
-$49.01
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares213
Combined PnL-$59.41
Over1 trader
Total Value$17.57
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$10.4
Under — 86%Over — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | $30.61 | — | -$30.61 | 45% 378-471 (849) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 65¢ | $25.97 | $17.57 | +$10.4 | 46% 3397-3944 (7341) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 34.5¢ | $8.74 | — | -$8.74 | 39% 1657-2634 (4291) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 42.2¢ | $10.64 | — | -$10.64 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $9.02 | — | -$9.02 | 45% 1018-1224 (2242) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 29¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 46% 1234-1428 (2662) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50¢ | $400 | — | +$0 | 63% 147-86 (233) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$30.61
Value
—
PnL
-$30.61
Record
45%
378-471 (849)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$25.97
Value
$17.57
PnL
+$10.4
Record
46%
3397-3944 (7341)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$8.74
Value
—
PnL
-$8.74
Record
39%
1657-2634 (4291)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$10.64
Value
—
PnL
-$10.64
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$9.02
Value
—
PnL
-$9.02
Record
45%
1018-1224 (2242)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
46%
1234-1428 (2662)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$400
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
147-86 (233)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xafb14f36...22ce6a
Slug
fif-sur-swz-2026-11-15-total-2pt5