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UnderUnderOverUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Suriname vs. Eswatini: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 80%
Total Value
$1.3
Combined PnL
-$25.18
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$25.44
Over2 traders
Total Value$1.3
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.26
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 15.2¢ | $10.77 | — | -$10.77 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $14.33 | — | -$14.33 | 38% 1401-2279 (3680) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 80¢ | $1.04 | $1.3 | +$0.26 | 46% 3397-3944 (7341) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 4¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 39% 1657-2634 (4291) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 20¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 46% 1234-1428 (2662) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $396 | — | +$0 | 63% 147-86 (233) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$10.77
Value
—
PnL
-$10.77
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$14.33
Value
—
PnL
-$14.33
Record
38%
1401-2279 (3680)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
$1.3
PnL
+$0.26
Record
46%
3397-3944 (7341)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
39%
1657-2634 (4291)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
46%
1234-1428 (2662)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$396
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
147-86 (233)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x59dcc0c8...6d3f66
Slug
fif-sur-swz-2026-11-15-total-1pt5