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NoNoNoYes
dips.CTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Eswatini win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$862.21
Combined PnL
-$4.45
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$862.21
Total Shares862
Combined PnL+$73.92
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares889
Combined PnL-$78.38
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Noavg 90.8¢ | $608.72 | $670.54 | +$61.82 | 38% 1416-2272 (3688) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 90¢ | $90 | $100 | +$10 | 38% 1401-2279 (3680) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 97.7¢ | $89.57 | $91.67 | +$2.1 | 46% 1234-1428 (2662) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $76.04 | — | -$76.04 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.3¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 48% 1342-1442 (2784) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 48% 2643-2871 (5514) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $104 | — | +$0 | 63% 147-86 (233) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$608.72
Value
$670.54
PnL
+$61.82
Record
38%
1416-2272 (3688)
LI
LimousinInvested
$90
Value
$100
PnL
+$10
Record
38%
1401-2279 (3680)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$89.57
Value
$91.67
PnL
+$2.1
Record
46%
1234-1428 (2662)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$76.04
Value
—
PnL
-$76.04
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
48%
1342-1442 (2784)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
48%
2643-2871 (5514)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$104
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
147-86 (233)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2bc12c13...84e062
Slug
fif-sur-swz-2026-11-15-swz