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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Bolivia win on 2026-11-13?

Resolved No. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

No 65%

Total Value

$6.5K

Combined PnL

-$135.01

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders
Total Value$6.5K
Total Shares6,525
Combined PnL+$393.57
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,593
Combined PnL-$528.58
No — 65%Yes — 35%
NE
Next-Licensing
No

Invested

$1,948

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$2.13

Record

97%

139-4 (143)

FL
Flaznorp
No

Invested

$1,532.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$57.48

Record

49%

3587-3673 (7260)

RN1
No

Invested

$1,171.78

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$257.22

Record

56%

5116-4067 (9183)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
No

Invested

$510.98

Value

$558.44

PnL

+$47.46

Record

51%

2392-2332 (4724)

LI
LightParadox
No

Invested

$409.7

Value

$483.46

PnL

+$73.76

Record

36%

925-1612 (2537)

LI
Limousin
No

Invested

$233.08

Value

$273.59

PnL

+$40.51

Record

36%

896-1591 (2487)

Secondhandvinyl
No

Invested

$142.21

Value

$150

PnL

+$7.79

Record

74%

210-75 (285)

TO
topdogbigboi
No

Invested

$108.73

Value

$116.6

PnL

+$7.86

Record

37%

872-1456 (2328)

poshposh<$100
No

Invested

$48.67

Value

$58.64

PnL

+$9.97

Record

48%

1029-1117 (2146)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
Yes

Invested

$476.64

Value

—

PnL

-$476.64

Record

54%

2027-1761 (3788)

VE
Venusian<$100
No

Invested

$22.21

Value

$26.12

PnL

+$3.91

Record

36%

906-1622 (2528)

NO
NotJumpCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$33

Value

—

PnL

-$33

Record

53%

759-682 (1441)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
No

Invested

$40.56

Value

$4.01

PnL

+$0.44

Record

49%

1915-2022 (3937)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$9.52

Value

—

PnL

-$9.52

Record

45%

2387-2862 (5249)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$75.22

Value

—

PnL

-$5.22

Record

54%

1217-1056 (2273)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

43%

933-1261 (2194)

HY
hydra1248CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.71

Value

—

PnL

-$1.71

Record

75%

169-55 (224)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa2eea902...344175
Slug
fif-per-bol-2026-11-13-bol

Traders in this Market

NE

Next-Licensing

No — $2.0K

+$2.13
FL

Flaznorp

No — $1.5K

-$57.48

RN1

No — $1.4K

+$257.22
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

No — $558.44

+$47.46
LI

LightParadox

No — $483.46

+$73.76
LI

Limousin

No — $273.59

+$40.51

Secondhandvinyl

No — $150

+$7.79
TO

topdogbigboi

No — $116.6

+$7.86

poshposh

No — $58.64

+$9.97
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Yes — $0

-$476.64
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