Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
New Zealand vs. India: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
$523.35
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 58.9¢ | $1.3K | $712.1 | -$555.58 | 49% 4560-4822 (9382) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 48.5¢ | $345.28 | $712.1 | +$366.82 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 58.9¢ | $922.4 | — | -$922.4 | |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $47.52 | $99 | +$51.48 | 56% 635-502 (1137) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 46.3¢ | $35.43 | $71.11 | +$35.68 | 47% 1160-1322 (2482) |
 FaroeseNationalist<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $24.29 | $51.69 | +$27.39 | 50% 27-27 (54) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | $17.5 | $35 | +$17.5 | 38% 1276-2118 (3394) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 54.9¢ | $40.85 | $33.45 | +$13.67 | 48% 2465-2697 (5162) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 31.5¢ | $3.15 | $10 | +$6.85 | 38% 1303-2129 (3432) |
SU suntoriCTR | Overavg 47.1¢ | $196.12 | — | +$365.58 | 46% 3106-3639 (6745) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 35% 612-1116 (1728) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 51¢ | $12.73 | $0.01 | -$0.24 | 53% 1805-1593 (3398) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 67¢ | $13.4 | — | +$6.58 | 83% 935-192 (1127) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 65% 144-79 (223) |
Invested
$1,267.68
Value
$712.1
PnL
-$555.58
Record
49%
4560-4822 (9382)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.52
Value
$99
PnL
+$51.48
Record
56%
635-502 (1137)
Invested
$35.43
Value
$71.11
PnL
+$35.68
Record
47%
1160-1322 (2482)
FaroeseNationalist<$100Invested
$24.29
Value
$51.69
PnL
+$27.39
Record
50%
27-27 (54)
Invested
$17.5
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.5
Record
38%
1276-2118 (3394)
Invested
$40.85
Value
$33.45
PnL
+$13.67
Record
48%
2465-2697 (5162)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.85
Record
38%
1303-2129 (3432)
Invested
$196.12
Value
—
PnL
+$365.58
Record
46%
3106-3639 (6745)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
35%
612-1116 (1728)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$12.73
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.24
Record
53%
1805-1593 (3398)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$13.4
Value
—
PnL
+$6.58
Record
83%
935-192 (1127)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
144-79 (223)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LeLynxMalynx
Under — $99
SnakeBall
Under — $71.11
FaroeseNationalist
Under — $51.69
Limousin
Under — $35
ferdinand2
Under — $33.45
MadridTime
Under — $10
suntori
CTROver — $0
LuckyLoo
CTROver — $0
VeryLucky888
Under — $0.01