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India
dips.New ZealandIndiaNew ZealandNew ZealandNew ZealandIndiaNew Zealand
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was India — but New Zealand won instead.
Spread: New Zealand (-4.5)
Resolved New Zealand. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held India. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
India 33%
Total Value
$755.46
Combined PnL
-$363.54
Smart Money Signal
India
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
New Zealand100%
India0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
India3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,200
Combined PnL-$755.38
New Zealand5 traders
Total Value$755.46
Total Shares755
Combined PnL+$391.84
India — 38%New Zealand — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Indiaavg 64¢ | $558.94 | — | -$558.94 | 51% 2503-2397 (4900) |
dips. | New Zealandavg 60.6¢ | $234.61 | $387 | +$152.39 | 45% 516-638 (1154) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Indiaavg 47.2¢ | $195.64 | — | -$195.64 | 46% 433-502 (935) |
LU LuckyLoo | New Zealandavg 34¢ | $99.78 | $293.46 | +$193.68 | 36% 204-357 (561) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | New Zealandavg 39.8¢ | $26.67 | $67 | +$40.33 | 62% 1358-824 (2182) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | New Zealandavg 40¢ | $3.2 | $8 | +$4.8 | 33% 541-1119 (1660) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Indiaavg 58¢ | $5.8 | — | -$0.8 | 50% 1206-1230 (2436) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | New Zealandavg 33¢ | $2.97 | — | +$0.63 | 86% 68-11 (79) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$558.94
Value
—
PnL
-$558.94
Record
51%
2503-2397 (4900)
dips.Invested
$234.61
Value
$387
PnL
+$152.39
Record
45%
516-638 (1154)
SN
SnakeBallCTRInvested
$195.64
Value
—
PnL
-$195.64
Record
46%
433-502 (935)
LU
LuckyLooInvested
$99.78
Value
$293.46
PnL
+$193.68
Record
36%
204-357 (561)
SH
shiifoo<$100Invested
$26.67
Value
$67
PnL
+$40.33
Record
62%
1358-824 (2182)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
$8
PnL
+$4.8
Record
33%
541-1119 (1660)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
50%
1206-1230 (2436)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$2.97
Value
—
PnL
+$0.63
Record
86%
68-11 (79)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbb40b9bb...aad6db
Slug
fif-nzl-ind-2026-11-12-spread-home-4pt5