Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Saudi Arabia vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Under 60%
$2.6K
$-6.8K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 21 top traders (57%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 84.2¢ | $6.4K | — | $-6.4K | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 35.1¢ | $450.78 | — | -$450.78 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
MO mouzsynapse | Overavg 9¢ | $92.7 | $1.0K | +$937.3 | 41% 91-133 (224) |
HI hi774c | Overavg 10¢ | $62.35 | $623.5 | +$561.15 | 21% 156-572 (728) |
 fxwd12345 | Overavg 64¢ | $355.2 | $555 | +$199.8 | 76% 32-10 (42) |
 RN1 | Overavg 31.4¢ | $72.41 | $230.78 | +$158.37 | 56% 4863-3816 (8679) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 6¢ | $7.45 | $66.54 | +$59.09 | 36% 326-587 (913) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 47.3¢ | $29.92 | $63.3 | +$33.38 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Overavg 5¢ | $2 | $40 | +$38 | 53% 634-568 (1202) |
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540<$100 | Overavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 83% 65-13 (78) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 36¢ | $682.06 | — | -$682.06 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 11.4¢ | $18.12 | — | -$18.12 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
E1 E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8CTR<$100 | Underavg 0.2¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 3% 1-32 (33) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 92.5¢ | $755.95 | — | -$755.95 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 36.7¢ | $246.57 | — | -$246.57 | 34% 736-1405 (2141) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 37¢ | $94.99 | — | -$94.99 | 35% 736-1380 (2116) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 2.5¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.29 | 46% 741-865 (1606) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 2.8¢ | $14.35 | — | -$3.37 | 53% 6646-5820 (12466) |
FE ferdinand2CTR | Underavg 96¢ | $127.95 | — | -$92.95 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Underavg 4¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 43% 507-662 (1169) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA | Overavg 99.1¢ | $182.21 | $0 | +$1.47 | 82% 538-116 (654) |
Invested
$6,434.23
Value
—
PnL
$-6.4K
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$450.78
Value
—
PnL
-$450.78
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
Invested
$92.7
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$937.3
Record
41%
91-133 (224)
Invested
$62.35
Value
$623.5
PnL
+$561.15
Record
21%
156-572 (728)
fxwd12345Invested
$355.2
Value
$555
PnL
+$199.8
Record
76%
32-10 (42)
RN1Invested
$72.41
Value
$230.78
PnL
+$158.37
Record
56%
4863-3816 (8679)
Invested
$7.45
Value
$66.54
PnL
+$59.09
Record
36%
326-587 (913)
Invested
$29.92
Value
$63.3
PnL
+$33.38
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
Invested
$2
Value
$40
PnL
+$38
Record
53%
634-568 (1202)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
83%
65-13 (78)
Invested
$682.06
Value
—
PnL
-$682.06
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$18.12
Value
—
PnL
-$18.12
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
3%
1-32 (33)
Invested
$755.95
Value
—
PnL
-$755.95
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
Invested
$246.57
Value
—
PnL
-$246.57
Record
34%
736-1405 (2141)
Invested
$94.99
Value
—
PnL
-$94.99
Record
35%
736-1380 (2116)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.29
Record
46%
741-865 (1606)
Invested
$14.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.37
Record
53%
6646-5820 (12466)
Invested
$127.95
Value
—
PnL
-$92.95
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
43%
507-662 (1169)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$182.21
Value
$0
PnL
+$1.47
Record
82%
538-116 (654)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTRUnder — $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder — $0
mouzsynapse
Over — $1.0K
hi774c
Over — $623.5
fxwd12345
Over — $555
RN1
Over — $230.78
LuckyLoo
Over — $66.54
suntori
Over — $63.3
NotJump
Over — $40
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
Over — $20