Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Saudi Arabia vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
20
Under 30%
$5.0K
$92.15
Smart Money Signal
6 of 20 top traders (30%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 14.2Β’ | $516.97 | $2.6K | +$2.1K | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 30.9Β’ | $951.92 | $2.1K | +$1.1K | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
0X 0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8CTR | Underavg 91Β’ | $2.3K | β | $-2.3K | 45% 15-18 (33) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 79Β’ | $857.46 | β | -$771.03 | 53% 1030-921 (1951) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 93Β’ | $66.42 | $71.42 | +$5 | 78% 748-213 (961) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 95Β’ | $70.01 | β | -$70.01 | 56% 4863-3816 (8679) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 33Β’ | $50.52 | β | -$50.52 | 36% 763-1361 (2124) |
RO Rocko33<$100 | Overavg 91Β’ | $50.55 | $55.55 | +$5 | 60% 55-37 (92) |
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540<$100 | Overavg 98Β’ | $49 | $50 | +$1 | 83% 65-13 (78) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Overavg 12Β’ | $4.8 | $40 | +$35.2 | 34% 736-1405 (2141) |
![]() dips.<$100 | Overavg 71Β’ | $24.14 | $34 | +$9.86 | 46% 741-865 (1606) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Overavg 71Β’ | $21.3 | $30 | +$8.7 | 63% 464-269 (733) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 91.8Β’ | $22.95 | $25 | +$2.05 | 85% 127-22 (149) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 22.4Β’ | $4.76 | $21.26 | +$16.5 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Overavg 47Β’ | $9.13 | $19.42 | +$10.29 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Overavg 37Β’ | $1.85 | $5 | +$3.15 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 71Β’ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 43% 507-662 (1169) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 47Β’ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 45% 595-734 (1329) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 32Β’ | $2.94 | β | -$2.94 | 36% 326-587 (913) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 29Β’ | $4.23 | β | -$4.23 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
Invested
$516.97
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
Invested
$951.92
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$2,275
Value
β
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
45%
15-18 (33)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$857.46
Value
β
PnL
-$771.03
Record
53%
1030-921 (1951)
Invested
$66.42
Value
$71.42
PnL
+$5
Record
78%
748-213 (961)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$70.01
Value
β
PnL
-$70.01
Record
56%
4863-3816 (8679)
Invested
$50.52
Value
β
PnL
-$50.52
Record
36%
763-1361 (2124)
Invested
$50.55
Value
$55.55
PnL
+$5
Record
60%
55-37 (92)
Invested
$49
Value
$50
PnL
+$1
Record
83%
65-13 (78)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$35.2
Record
34%
736-1405 (2141)
dips.<$100Invested
$24.14
Value
$34
PnL
+$9.86
Record
46%
741-865 (1606)
Invested
$21.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.7
Record
63%
464-269 (733)
Invested
$22.95
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.05
Record
85%
127-22 (149)
Invested
$4.76
Value
$21.26
PnL
+$16.5
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
poshposh<$100Invested
$9.13
Value
$19.42
PnL
+$10.29
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$1.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.15
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
43%
507-662 (1169)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
45%
595-734 (1329)
Invested
$2.94
Value
β
PnL
-$2.94
Record
36%
326-587 (913)
Invested
$4.23
Value
β
PnL
-$4.23
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
Over β $2.6K
Flaznorp
Over β $2.1K
0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8
CTRUnder β $0

VeryLucky888
CTRUnder β $0
ARocky33
Over β $71.42

RN1
CTRUnder β $0
MadridTime
CTRUnder β $0
Rocko33
Over β $55.55
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
Over β $50
Venusian
Over β $40