Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Saudi Arabia vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
30
Under 61%
$32.8K
$-8.3K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 30 top traders (60%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RA rabbitfoot1 | Overavg 43.2¢ | $9.8K | $22.6K | +$12.8K | 2% 9-382 (391) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 52.7¢ | $6.1K | $8.2K | +$2.1K | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 56.8¢ | $4.1K | — | $-4.1K | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 57.3¢ | $2.6K | — | -$968.3 | 53% 1030-921 (1951) |
HI hi774cCTR | Underavg 57¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 21% 156-572 (728) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 39.5¢ | $301.77 | $764.58 | +$462.81 | 36% 326-587 (913) |
 RN1CTR | Underavg 63.1¢ | $7.4K | — | $-7.4K | 56% 4863-3816 (8679) |
MA MadridTime | Overavg 41¢ | $259.51 | $566.17 | +$306.66 | 36% 763-1361 (2124) |
CI cigarettes | Overavg 97¢ | $315.43 | $274.15 | +$8.72 | 53% 6646-5820 (12466) |
LI LightParadox | Overavg 40.8¢ | $95.65 | $219.56 | +$123.91 | 35% 750-1386 (2136) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 29¢ | $945.94 | — | -$945.94 | 34% 736-1405 (2141) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Underavg 59.1¢ | $4.9K | — | $-4.9K | 50% 2262-2219 (4481) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Overavg 68¢ | $57.42 | $67.05 | +$9.63 | 53% 634-568 (1202) |
RO Rocko33<$100 | Overavg 94¢ | $45.12 | $48 | +$2.88 | 60% 55-37 (92) |
FO forecastication4CTR | Underavg 57¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 31% 134-299 (433) |
SM SmallcoinsCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $32.27 | — | -$32.27 | 3% 6-223 (229) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR | Underavg 56¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 59% 482-333 (815) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 89¢ | $14.24 | $16 | +$1.76 | 47% 786-902 (1688) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 45.7¢ | $39 | $15.98 | +$37.59 | 46% 2104-2463 (4567) |
 FaroeseNationalistCTR | Underavg 59¢ | $917.43 | — | -$917.43 | 59% 13-9 (22) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 79.2¢ | $711.06 | — | -$711.06 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 59¢ | $4.83 | — | -$4.83 | 43% 809-1065 (1874) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Overavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 36% 74-131 (205) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 46% 741-865 (1606) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 43% 507-662 (1169) |
Invested
$9,753.64
Value
$22.6K
PnL
+$12.8K
Record
2%
9-382 (391)
Invested
$6,081.8
Value
$8.2K
PnL
+$2.1K
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
Invested
$4,114.54
Value
—
PnL
$-4.1K
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$2,587.53
Value
—
PnL
-$968.3
Record
53%
1030-921 (1951)
Invested
$1,442.86
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
21%
156-572 (728)
Invested
$301.77
Value
$764.58
PnL
+$462.81
Record
36%
326-587 (913)
RN1CTRInvested
$7,408.53
Value
—
PnL
$-7.4K
Record
56%
4863-3816 (8679)
Invested
$259.51
Value
$566.17
PnL
+$306.66
Record
36%
763-1361 (2124)
Invested
$315.43
Value
$274.15
PnL
+$8.72
Record
53%
6646-5820 (12466)
Invested
$95.65
Value
$219.56
PnL
+$123.91
Record
35%
750-1386 (2136)
Invested
$945.94
Value
—
PnL
-$945.94
Record
34%
736-1405 (2141)
Invested
$4,928.85
Value
—
PnL
$-4.9K
Record
50%
2262-2219 (4481)
Invested
$57.42
Value
$67.05
PnL
+$9.63
Record
53%
634-568 (1202)
Invested
$45.12
Value
$48
PnL
+$2.88
Record
60%
55-37 (92)
Invested
$2,065.68
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
31%
134-299 (433)
Invested
$32.27
Value
—
PnL
-$32.27
Record
3%
6-223 (229)
Invested
$1,177.23
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
59%
482-333 (815)
poshposh<$100Invested
$14.24
Value
$16
PnL
+$1.76
Record
47%
786-902 (1688)
Invested
$39
Value
$15.98
PnL
+$37.59
Record
46%
2104-2463 (4567)
FaroeseNationalistCTRInvested
$917.43
Value
—
PnL
-$917.43
Record
59%
13-9 (22)
Invested
$711.06
Value
—
PnL
-$711.06
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
Invested
$4.83
Value
—
PnL
-$4.83
Record
43%
809-1065 (1874)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
36%
74-131 (205)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
46%
741-865 (1606)
Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
43%
507-662 (1169)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
rabbitfoot1
Over — $22.6K
Flaznorp
Over — $8.2K
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRUnder — $0
hi774c
CTRUnder — $0
LuckyLoo
Over — $764.58
RN1
CTRUnder — $0
MadridTime
Over — $566.17
cigarettes
Over — $274.15
LightParadox
Over — $219.56