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Korea RepublicKorea RepublicSaudi ArabiaSaudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Saudi Arabia β but Korea Republic won instead.

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)
Resolved Korea Republic. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Saudi Arabia. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Saudi Arabia 60%
Total Value
$91.57
Combined PnL
-$60.71
Smart Money Signal
Saudi Arabia
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Saudi Arabia0%
Korea Republic100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Korea Republic2 traders
Total Value$91.57
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$5.86
Saudi Arabia3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares350
Combined PnL-$54.85
Korea Republic β 40%Saudi Arabia β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Korea Republicavg 83.4Β’ | $51.37 | $61.59 | +$10.22 | 48% 677-745 (1422) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Korea Republicavg 99.4Β’ | $46.06 | $29.98 | -$16.08 | 51% 3195-3131 (6326) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Saudi Arabiaavg 16.5Β’ | $53.02 | β | -$53.02 | 54% 1849-1555 (3404) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Saudi Arabiaavg 3.1Β’ | $0.78 | β | -$0.78 | 53% 6646-5820 (12466) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Saudi Arabiaavg 14.2Β’ | $6.06 | β | -$1.05 | 49% 1669-1706 (3375) |
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$51.37
Value
$61.59
PnL
+$10.22
Record
48%
677-745 (1422)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$46.06
Value
$29.98
PnL
-$16.08
Record
51%
3195-3131 (6326)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$53.02
Value
β
PnL
-$53.02
Record
54%
1849-1555 (3404)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
β
PnL
-$0.78
Record
53%
6646-5820 (12466)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$6.06
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
49%
1669-1706 (3375)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x854c6352...8e8c36
Slug
fif-ksa-kr-2026-11-13-spread-home-2pt5