Back to Markets
JapanBrazilBrazil
RN1CTR<$100JapanBrazil
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Japan — but Brazil won instead.
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
Resolved Brazil. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Japan. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Japan 50%
Total Value
$191.17
Combined PnL
-$212.88
Smart Money Signal
Japan
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Japan0%
Brazil100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Japan2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,171
Combined PnL-$216.72
Brazil3 traders
Total Value$191.17
Total Shares191
Combined PnL+$3.85
Japan — 40%Brazil — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Japanavg 10.2¢ | $211.3 | — | -$211.3 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
NE Next-Licensing<$100 | Brazilavg 99.9¢ | $97.52 | $97.62 | +$0.1 | 98% 165-4 (169) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Brazilavg 95¢ | $88.84 | $93.12 | +$4.28 | 53% 2083-1825 (3908) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Japanavg 4.5¢ | $5.42 | — | -$5.42 | 55% 5362-4303 (9665) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Brazilavg 92¢ | $4.98 | $0.43 | -$0.53 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$211.3
Value
—
PnL
-$211.3
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
NE
Next-Licensing<$100Invested
$97.52
Value
$97.62
PnL
+$0.1
Record
98%
165-4 (169)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$88.84
Value
$93.12
PnL
+$4.28
Record
53%
2083-1825 (3908)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$5.42
Value
—
PnL
-$5.42
Record
55%
5362-4303 (9665)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$4.98
Value
$0.43
PnL
-$0.53
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe18d2de7...a9a826
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-spread-home-2pt5