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UnderUnder
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Under
RN1CTR<$100Under
poshposhCTR<$100UnderUnder
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Over Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Japan vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$494.76
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares900
Combined PnL-$495.36
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0.6
Under β 86%Over β 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 45Β’ | $249.14 | β | -$249.14 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR | Underavg 56.4Β’ | $170.38 | β | -$170.38 | 56% 462-367 (829) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $55.75 | β | -$55.75 | 53% 1343-1170 (2513) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 37Β’ | $17.4 | β | -$17.4 | 55% 5362-4303 (9665) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.6Β’ | $0.5 | β | -$0.5 | 48% 1104-1175 (2279) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 36.5Β’ | $9.66 | β | -$2.2 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Overavg 99Β’ | $66.35 | β | +$0.6 | 82% 703-150 (853) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$249.14
Value
β
PnL
-$249.14
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTRInvested
$170.38
Value
β
PnL
-$170.38
Record
56%
462-367 (829)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$55.75
Value
β
PnL
-$55.75
Record
53%
1343-1170 (2513)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$17.4
Value
β
PnL
-$17.4
Record
55%
5362-4303 (9665)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
β
PnL
-$0.5
Record
48%
1104-1175 (2279)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$9.66
Value
β
PnL
-$2.2
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$66.35
Value
β
PnL
+$0.6
Record
82%
703-150 (853)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12b9fc32...50aabd
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-first-half-total-1pt5