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Yes
RN1NoNoNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Brazil?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$146.64
Combined PnL
-$270.68
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,322
Combined PnL-$298.95
No3 traders
Total Value$146.64
Total Shares147
Combined PnL+$28.27
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 17.1¢ | $295.31 | — | -$295.31 | 49% 3811-3974 (7785) |
RN1 | Noavg 73.3¢ | $75.59 | $100.64 | +$25.05 | 55% 5362-4303 (9665) |
GC GC-P<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | $26.83 | $28.85 | +$2.02 | 37% 353-603 (956) |
NM NM-P<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | $15.95 | $17.15 | +$1.2 | 59% 3763-2587 (6350) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.4¢ | $1.97 | — | -$1.97 | 42% 991-1360 (2351) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.7¢ | $1.67 | — | -$1.67 | 48% 2067-2229 (4296) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$295.31
Value
—
PnL
-$295.31
Record
49%
3811-3974 (7785)
RN1Invested
$75.59
Value
$100.64
PnL
+$25.05
Record
55%
5362-4303 (9665)
GC
GC-P<$100Invested
$26.83
Value
$28.85
PnL
+$2.02
Record
37%
353-603 (956)
NM
NM-P<$100Invested
$15.95
Value
$17.15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
59%
3763-2587 (6350)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$1.97
Value
—
PnL
-$1.97
Record
42%
991-1360 (2351)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.67
Value
—
PnL
-$1.67
Record
48%
2067-2229 (4296)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfc1b0c7c...19b127
Slug
fif-jpn-bra-2026-11-14-exact-score-2-1