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UnderUnderOver
RN1CTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Ecuador vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 40%
Total Value
$454.44
Combined PnL
-$81.88
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$454.44
Total Shares454
Combined PnL+$25.58
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares755
Combined PnL-$107.46
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 92.1¢ | $304.92 | $330.37 | +$25.46 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
NE Next-Licensing | Underavg 99.9¢ | $123.95 | $124.07 | +$0.12 | 97% 136-4 (140) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 16¢ | $95.66 | — | -$95.66 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 5.7¢ | $7.46 | — | -$7.46 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 16¢ | $4.33 | — | -$4.33 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$304.92
Value
$330.37
PnL
+$25.46
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
NE
Next-LicensingInvested
$123.95
Value
$124.07
PnL
+$0.12
Record
97%
136-4 (140)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$95.66
Value
—
PnL
-$95.66
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$7.46
Value
—
PnL
-$7.46
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$4.33
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x411ec30c...1c8a3b
Slug
fif-ecu-cri-2026-11-13-total-4pt5