Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Ecuador vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Over 64%
1 arb excluded
$4.8K
$945.29
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Overavg 54.9¢ | $1.1K | $2.1K | +$926.13 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 54.3¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$69.95 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 31.1¢ | $1.3K | $436.8 | -$842.3 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 79¢ | $344.89 | $436.8 | +$91.91 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 31.1¢ | $934.21 | — | -$934.21 | |
FO Forecastication2 | Overavg 79¢ | $297.04 | $376 | +$78.96 | 45% 224-276 (500) |
AR ARocky33 | Overavg 91.9¢ | $188.65 | $205.22 | +$16.57 | 78% 780-220 (1000) |
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9 | Overavg 77¢ | $94.9 | $123.25 | +$28.35 | 64% 47-26 (73) |
 poshposh<$100 | Overavg 69¢ | $41.67 | $48.71 | +$7.04 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 21¢ | $87.91 | — | -$87.91 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 20.9¢ | $75.13 | — | -$75.13 | 53% 1186-1032 (2218) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 76.3¢ | $23.8 | $31.17 | +$7.37 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 67.1¢ | $17.77 | $26.48 | +$8.71 | 45% 712-885 (1597) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 74¢ | $10 | $13.51 | +$3.51 | 39% 406-629 (1035) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 21¢ | $23.11 | — | -$23.11 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 25.4¢ | $8.12 | — | -$8.12 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 22¢ | $7.04 | — | -$7.04 | 47% 877-973 (1850) |
RN1Invested
$1,128.63
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$926.13
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$1,421.06
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$69.95
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$1,279.1
Value
$436.8
PnL
-$842.3
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Both legs:
Invested
$297.04
Value
$376
PnL
+$78.96
Record
45%
224-276 (500)
Invested
$188.65
Value
$205.22
PnL
+$16.57
Record
78%
780-220 (1000)
Invested
$94.9
Value
$123.25
PnL
+$28.35
Record
64%
47-26 (73)
poshposh<$100Invested
$41.67
Value
$48.71
PnL
+$7.04
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$87.91
Value
—
PnL
-$87.91
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$75.13
Value
—
PnL
-$75.13
Record
53%
1186-1032 (2218)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$31.17
PnL
+$7.37
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$17.77
Value
$26.48
PnL
+$8.71
Record
45%
712-885 (1597)
Invested
$10
Value
$13.51
PnL
+$3.51
Record
39%
406-629 (1035)
Invested
$23.11
Value
—
PnL
-$23.11
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$8.12
Value
—
PnL
-$8.12
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
—
PnL
-$7.04
Record
47%
877-973 (1850)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Over — $2.1K
Flaznorp
Over — $1.5K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Forecastication2
Over — $376
ARocky33
Over — $205.22
uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
Over — $123.25
poshposh
Over — $48.71
MadridTime
CTRUnder — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRUnder — $0
suntori
Over — $31.17