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OverOverOverOverUnderUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Ecuador vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Over 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$305.85
Combined PnL
-$0.58
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$268.5
Total Shares269
Combined PnL+$1.64
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$2.22
Over — 60%Under — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 94¢ | $216.38 | $216.5 | +$0.12 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 90¢ | $60.99 | $37.35 | -$23.64 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 4.8¢ | $27.38 | — | -$27.38 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 90¢ | $33.62 | $37.35 | +$3.73 | |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 98¢ | $39.2 | $40 | +$0.8 | 83% 183-37 (220) |
DV dv-pm<$100 | Overavg 94¢ | $11.28 | $12 | +$0.72 | 40% 25-38 (63) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 7¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 6¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$216.38
Value
$216.5
PnL
+$0.12
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$60.99
Value
$37.35
PnL
-$23.64
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Both legs:
Under$27.384.8¢-$27.38
Over$33.6290¢+$3.73
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$39.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.8
Record
83%
183-37 (220)
DV
dv-pm<$100Invested
$11.28
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.72
Record
40%
25-38 (63)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3db3a38a...cbbb20
Slug
fif-ecu-cri-2026-11-13-total-0pt5