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UnderUnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100OverOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Ecuador vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$152.99
Combined PnL
$3.99
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$152.99
Total Shares153
Combined PnL+$16.7
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares118
Combined PnL-$12.71
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 89.4¢ | $121.19 | $135.49 | +$14.3 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 84¢ | $10.5 | $12.5 | +$2 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 92¢ | $4.6 | $5 | +$0.4 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $12.7 | — | -$12.7 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.3¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$121.19
Value
$135.49
PnL
+$14.3
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$12.5
PnL
+$2
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$12.7
Value
—
PnL
-$12.7
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x87958d5d...9c95a1
Slug
fif-ecu-cri-2026-11-13-first-half-total-2pt5