Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-11-13?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
No 88%
$20.5K
$453.23
Smart Money Signal
15 of 17 top traders (88%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 98.3¢ | $20.3K | $13.3K | +$239.41 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 94¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$105.85 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
 RN1 | Noavg 98¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$25.92 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
PA pagliacci4 | Noavg 98.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.65 | 65% 60-32 (92) |
 fxwd12345 | Noavg 93¢ | $611.44 | $657.47 | +$46.02 | 73% 44-16 (60) |
 Secondhandvinyl | Noavg 98.4¢ | $491.65 | $499.75 | +$8.1 | 74% 207-71 (278) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 91¢ | $459.19 | $491.56 | +$32.36 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
GC GC-P | Noavg 93¢ | $372.05 | $400.06 | +$28 | 36% 319-557 (876) |
JA Jackenxand | Noavg 99.9¢ | $262.74 | $263 | +$0.26 | 100% 38-0 (38) |
NM NM-P | Noavg 93¢ | $222.24 | $238.97 | +$16.73 | 59% 3728-2540 (6268) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Noavg 97.4¢ | $176.69 | $177.17 | +$0.48 | 51% 2368-2313 (4681) |
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 93¢ | $464.97 | $160.19 | +$14.61 | 53% 1186-1032 (2218) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $97.22 | $99 | +$1.78 | 28% 298-748 (1046) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $67.77 | $72.1 | +$4.33 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 90.8¢ | $24.41 | $26.88 | +$2.47 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $83.3 | — | -$83.3 | 45% 224-276 (500) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.4¢ | $16.21 | — | -$1.45 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
Invested
$20,251.22
Value
$13.3K
PnL
+$239.41
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$1,658.37
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$105.85
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
RN1Invested
$1,300.56
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$25.92
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$1,050.35
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.65
Record
65%
60-32 (92)
fxwd12345Invested
$611.44
Value
$657.47
PnL
+$46.02
Record
73%
44-16 (60)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$491.65
Value
$499.75
PnL
+$8.1
Record
74%
207-71 (278)
Invested
$459.19
Value
$491.56
PnL
+$32.36
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$372.05
Value
$400.06
PnL
+$28
Record
36%
319-557 (876)
Invested
$262.74
Value
$263
PnL
+$0.26
Record
100%
38-0 (38)
Invested
$222.24
Value
$238.97
PnL
+$16.73
Record
59%
3728-2540 (6268)
Invested
$176.69
Value
$177.17
PnL
+$0.48
Record
51%
2368-2313 (4681)
VeryLucky888Invested
$464.97
Value
$160.19
PnL
+$14.61
Record
53%
1186-1032 (2218)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$97.22
Value
$99
PnL
+$1.78
Record
28%
298-748 (1046)
Invested
$67.77
Value
$72.1
PnL
+$4.33
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
Invested
$24.41
Value
$26.88
PnL
+$2.47
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
Invested
$83.3
Value
—
PnL
-$83.3
Record
45%
224-276 (500)
Invested
$16.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)