Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Colombia vs. Chile: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Over 31%
$9.9K
$2.2K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 16 top traders (31%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 33.7¢ | $2.2K | $6.3K | +$4.1K | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
 RN1 | Underavg 33.4¢ | $643.23 | $1.8K | +$1.1K | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 39.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.6K | +$555.76 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
 CUTJALENHURTSCTR | Overavg 69.4¢ | $3.5K | — | $-3.5K | 52% 2623-2460 (5083) |
 dips.<$100 | Underavg 85.4¢ | $48.67 | $57 | +$8.33 | 47% 877-973 (1850) |
 poshposh<$100 | Underavg 85¢ | $40.51 | $47.66 | +$7.15 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $7.29 | $30.33 | +$23.04 | 48% 855-936 (1791) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 55.6¢ | $97.17 | — | -$97.17 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
 Secondhandvinyl<$100 | Underavg 85¢ | $17 | $20 | +$3 | 74% 207-71 (278) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $4.8 | $20 | +$15.2 | 53% 750-672 (1422) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $5.54 | $19.79 | +$14.25 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 46.4¢ | $97.13 | — | -$97.13 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $4.56 | $19 | +$14.44 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 36.9¢ | $5.46 | $6.8 | +$6.34 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
SU suitcase6628CTR<$100 | Overavg 76¢ | $15.84 | — | -$15.1 | 64% 535-298 (833) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Overavg 64.6¢ | $10.48 | — | -$8.45 | 44% 600-749 (1349) |
Invested
$2,205.17
Value
$6.3K
PnL
+$4.1K
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
RN1Invested
$643.23
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$1,042.75
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$555.76
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
CUTJALENHURTSCTRInvested
$3,451.73
Value
—
PnL
$-3.5K
Record
52%
2623-2460 (5083)
dips.<$100Invested
$48.67
Value
$57
PnL
+$8.33
Record
47%
877-973 (1850)
poshposh<$100Invested
$40.51
Value
$47.66
PnL
+$7.15
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$7.29
Value
$30.33
PnL
+$23.04
Record
48%
855-936 (1791)
Invested
$97.17
Value
—
PnL
-$97.17
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Secondhandvinyl<$100Invested
$17
Value
$20
PnL
+$3
Record
74%
207-71 (278)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$15.2
Record
53%
750-672 (1422)
Invested
$5.54
Value
$19.79
PnL
+$14.25
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
Invested
$97.13
Value
—
PnL
-$97.13
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$4.56
Value
$19
PnL
+$14.44
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6.8
PnL
+$6.34
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$15.84
Value
—
PnL
-$15.1
Record
64%
535-298 (833)
Invested
$10.48
Value
—
PnL
-$8.45
Record
44%
600-749 (1349)