Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Chile win on 2026-11-13?
Resolved No. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
No 63%
$33.9K
-$523.77
Smart Money Signal
18 of 28 top traders (64%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 96.2¢ | $19.8K | $20.3K | +$495.5 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
 RN1 | Noavg 91.1¢ | $6.2K | $6.7K | +$499.69 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
PA pagliacci4 | Noavg 97.8¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$37.08 | 65% 60-32 (92) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 89.9¢ | $899.76 | $1.0K | +$100.92 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 13.2¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Noavg 94¢ | $847.2 | $862.9 | +$15.7 | 51% 2368-2313 (4681) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 86¢ | $661.35 | $769.01 | +$107.66 | 35% 424-772 (1196) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 89¢ | $617.22 | $693.51 | +$76.29 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
 tradecraft | Noavg 97.1¢ | $607.88 | $625.16 | +$17.28 | 28% 298-748 (1046) |
 Secondhandvinyl | Noavg 98.2¢ | $532.3 | $541.87 | +$9.57 | 74% 207-71 (278) |
NM NM-P | Noavg 88¢ | $220 | $250 | +$30 | 59% 3728-2540 (6268) |
 poshposh | Noavg 94.6¢ | $141.9 | $150 | +$8.1 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
NO NotJump | Noavg 86.6¢ | $209.42 | $116.6 | -$9.29 | 53% 750-672 (1422) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $66.13 | $74.3 | +$8.17 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
GC GC-P<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $56.18 | $63.84 | +$7.66 | 36% 319-557 (876) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $53.42 | $60.02 | +$6.6 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
RI RichieRicher<$100 | Noavg 97.7¢ | $12.11 | $12.39 | +$0.28 | 54% 476-400 (876) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $19.2 | — | -$19.2 | 43% 920-1244 (2164) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 44% 343-445 (788) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.6¢ | $28.05 | — | -$28.05 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.8¢ | $14.28 | — | -$14.28 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $10.11 | — | -$5.11 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
SU suitcase6628CTR<$100 | Yesavg 12¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 64% 535-298 (833) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $8.87 | — | -$8.87 | 25% 1304-3920 (5224) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 44% 600-749 (1349) |
Invested
$19,800.36
Value
$20.3K
PnL
+$495.5
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
RN1Invested
$6,238.33
Value
$6.7K
PnL
+$499.69
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$1,648.36
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$37.08
Record
65%
60-32 (92)
Invested
$899.76
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$100.92
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$1,847.77
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$847.2
Value
$862.9
PnL
+$15.7
Record
51%
2368-2313 (4681)
Invested
$661.35
Value
$769.01
PnL
+$107.66
Record
35%
424-772 (1196)
Invested
$617.22
Value
$693.51
PnL
+$76.29
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
tradecraftInvested
$607.88
Value
$625.16
PnL
+$17.28
Record
28%
298-748 (1046)
SecondhandvinylInvested
$532.3
Value
$541.87
PnL
+$9.57
Record
74%
207-71 (278)
Invested
$220
Value
$250
PnL
+$30
Record
59%
3728-2540 (6268)
poshposhInvested
$141.9
Value
$150
PnL
+$8.1
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$209.42
Value
$116.6
PnL
-$9.29
Record
53%
750-672 (1422)
Invested
$66.13
Value
$74.3
PnL
+$8.17
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
Invested
$56.18
Value
$63.84
PnL
+$7.66
Record
36%
319-557 (876)
Invested
$53.42
Value
$60.02
PnL
+$6.6
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
Invested
$12.11
Value
$12.39
PnL
+$0.28
Record
54%
476-400 (876)
Invested
$19.2
Value
—
PnL
-$19.2
Record
43%
920-1244 (2164)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
44%
343-445 (788)
Invested
$28.05
Value
—
PnL
-$28.05
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Invested
$14.28
Value
—
PnL
-$14.28
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$10.11
Value
—
PnL
-$5.11
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
64%
535-298 (833)
Invested
$8.87
Value
—
PnL
-$8.87
Record
25%
1304-3920 (5224)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
44%
600-749 (1349)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
No — $20.3K
RN1
No — $6.7K
pagliacci4
No — $1.7K
LightParadox
No — $1.0K
GoalLineGhost
CTRYes — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
No — $862.9
LuckyLoo
No — $769.01
Limousin
No — $693.51
tradecraft
No — $625.16
Secondhandvinyl
No — $541.87