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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

China PR vs. Malaysia: O/U 5.5

Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Under 40%

Total Value

$599.89

Combined PnL

-$47.08

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$599.89

Total Shares600

Combined PnL+$15.7

Over6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares807

Combined PnL-$62.78

Under — 40%Over — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NE Next-Licensing	Underavg 99.9¢	$490.4	$490.89	+$0.49	98% 165-4 (169)
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100	Underavg 91¢	$44.59	$49	+$4.41	50% 153-153 (306)
dips.<$100	Underavg 82¢	$32.8	$40	+$7.2	47% 969-1098 (2067)
SM smithagent<$100	Underavg 82¢	$16.4	$20	+$3.6	45% 656-817 (1473)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Overavg 6¢	$25.2	—	-$25.2	49% 3821-3983 (7804)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Overavg 7¢	$22.59	—	-$22.59	35% 440-800 (1240)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Overavg 3¢	$3.09	—	-$3.09	53% 7060-6194 (13254)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Overavg 9¢	$7.02	—	-$7.02	45% 260-317 (577)
NO NotJumpCTR<$100	Overavg 7¢	$2.83	—	-$2.83	52% 820-759 (1579)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Overavg 17¢	$2.05	—	-$2.05	47% 895-994 (1889)

Invested

$490.4

Value

$490.89

PnL

+$0.49

Record

98%

165-4 (169)

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100

Invested

$44.59

Value

$49

PnL

+$4.41

Record

50%

153-153 (306)

Invested

$32.8

Value

$40

PnL

+$7.2

Record

47%

969-1098 (2067)

smithagent<$100

Invested

$16.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$3.6

Record

45%

656-817 (1473)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Invested

$25.2

Value

—

PnL

-$25.2

Record

49%

3821-3983 (7804)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

$22.59

Value

—

PnL

-$22.59

Record

35%

440-800 (1240)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

$3.09

Value

—

PnL

-$3.09

Record

53%

7060-6194 (13254)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Invested

$7.02

Value

—

PnL

-$7.02

Record

45%

260-317 (577)

NotJumpCTR<$100

Invested

$2.83

Value

—

PnL

-$2.83

Record

52%

820-759 (1579)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

47%

895-994 (1889)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3cd793ca...82ac96

Slug

fif-chn-mas-2026-11-14-total-5pt5

Traders in this Market

Next-Licensing

Under — $490.89

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69

Under — $49

dips.

Under — $40

smithagent

Under — $20

Flaznorp

Over — $0

LuckyLoo

Over — $0

cigarettes

Over — $0

Forecastication2

Over — $0

NotJump

Over — $0

SnakeBall

Over — $0

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