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OverOverUnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
China PR vs. Malaysia: China PR O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 80%
Total Value
$5.36
Combined PnL
-$136.21
Smart Money Signal
Over
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares399
Combined PnL-$138.69
Under1 trader
Total Value$5.36
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.48
Over — 86%Under — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 34.8¢ | $113.66 | — | -$113.66 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 35¢ | $21.63 | — | -$21.63 | 36% 948-1669 (2617) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $2.87 | $5.36 | +$2.48 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 36% 933-1644 (2577) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 35¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0 | 37% 960-1662 (2622) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $193 | — | +$0 | 69% 132-60 (192) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$113.66
Value
—
PnL
-$113.66
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$21.63
Value
—
PnL
-$21.63
Record
36%
948-1669 (2617)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$2.87
Value
$5.36
PnL
+$2.48
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
36%
933-1644 (2577)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
37%
960-1662 (2622)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$193
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
132-60 (192)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd5d1c5b7...724ae0
Slug
fif-chn-mas-2026-11-14-team-total-home-2pt5