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Malaysia
poshposh<$100MalaysiaMalaysiaChina PRChina PR
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Malaysia — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Malaysia
Spread: China PR (-3.5)
Resolved Malaysia. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Malaysia. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Malaysia 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$133.89
Combined PnL
-$11.77
Smart Money Signal
Malaysia
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
China PR0%
Malaysia100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Malaysia2 traders
Total Value$52.89
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$1.5
China PR2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares94
Combined PnL-$13.27
Malaysia — 50%China PR — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Malaysiaavg 80¢ | $94.88 | $81 | -$13.88 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
| └ China PR leg | China PRavg 6¢ | $30.08 | — | -$30.08 | |
| └ Malaysia leg | Malaysiaavg 80¢ | $64.8 | $81 | +$16.2 | |
poshposh<$100 | Malaysiaavg 94¢ | $27.86 | $29.33 | +$1.48 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
NE Next-Licensing<$100 | Malaysiaavg 99.9¢ | $23.54 | $23.56 | +$0.02 | 98% 165-4 (169) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | China PRavg 18¢ | $9.97 | — | -$9.97 | 53% 7060-6194 (13254) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | China PRavg 8.6¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$94.88
Value
$81
PnL
-$13.88
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
Both legs:
China PR$30.086¢-$30.08
Malaysia$64.880¢+$16.2
poshposh<$100Invested
$27.86
Value
$29.33
PnL
+$1.48
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
NE
Next-Licensing<$100Invested
$23.54
Value
$23.56
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
165-4 (169)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$9.97
Value
—
PnL
-$9.97
Record
53%
7060-6194 (13254)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xec7f480b...841242
Slug
fif-chn-mas-2026-11-14-spread-home-3pt5