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poshposh<$100NoYesYesYes
VeryLucky888No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
China PR vs. Malaysia: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 75%
Total Value
$16.34
Combined PnL
-$225.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$16.34
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$11.24
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,089
Combined PnL-$236.34
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposh<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $14.94 | $16.33 | +$1.39 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Yesavg 19.7¢ | $188.63 | — | -$188.63 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $35.35 | — | -$35.35 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 38.4¢ | $12.36 | — | -$12.36 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 60.1¢ | $119.48 | $0.01 | +$9.85 | 53% 1351-1180 (2531) |
poshposh<$100Invested
$14.94
Value
$16.33
PnL
+$1.39
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
SN
SnakeBallCTRInvested
$188.63
Value
—
PnL
-$188.63
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$35.35
Value
—
PnL
-$35.35
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$12.36
Value
—
PnL
-$12.36
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
VeryLucky888Invested
$119.48
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$9.85
Record
53%
1351-1180 (2531)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc05eadad...ee6ff7
Slug
fif-chn-mas-2026-11-14-halftime-result-draw