Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Bahrain — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Bahrain

Spread: Bahrain (-1.5)

Resolved Bahrain. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Bahrain. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Bahrain 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$210.76

Bahrain

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Bahrain100%

Yemen0%

Bahrain3 traders

Total Value$965.09

Total Shares965

Combined PnL+$390.64

Yemen2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares273

Combined PnL-$179.88

Bahrain — 60%Yemen — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Bahrainavg 34.9¢	$207.6	$594.57	+$386.97	53% 2055-1798 (3853)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105	Bahrainavg 99¢	$362.5	$366.16	+$3.66	98% 442-7 (449)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Yemenavg 57.9¢	$282.23	$46.08	-$236.15	49% 3769-3940 (7709)
└ Yemen leg	Yemenavg 57.9¢	$246.4	—	-$246.4
└ Bahrain leg	Bahrainavg 77.8¢	$35.83	$46.08	+$10.25
VeryLucky888CTR	Yemenavg 66¢	$176.88	—	-$176.88	53% 1318-1151 (2469)
LO looppau<$100	Bahrainavg 99.9¢	$4.36	$4.36	+$0	100% 641-0 (641)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Yemenavg 60¢	$3	—	-$3	48% 2045-2201 (4246)