Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Argentina — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Argentina

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Resolved Argentina. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Argentina. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Argentina 33%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

$534.05

Argentina

4 of 12 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Uruguay0%

Argentina100%

Argentina4 traders

Total Value$3.6K

Total Shares3,621

Combined PnL+$773.96

Uruguay8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,707

Combined PnL-$239.91

Argentina — 33%Uruguay — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Argentinaavg 83¢	$1.9K	$2.1K	+$204.84	54% 2013-1746 (3759)
RN1	Argentinaavg 48.9¢	$891.98	$1.5K	+$567.9	56% 5043-4004 (9047)
LI LimousinCTR	Uruguayavg 8.8¢	$101.11	—	-$101.11	36% 879-1566 (2445)
FL Flaznorp<$100	Argentinaavg 98¢	$58.79	$59.99	+$1.2	50% 3526-3585 (7111)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Uruguayavg 12.7¢	$51.39	$25.26	-$26.13	37% 819-1385 (2204)
└ Uruguay leg	Uruguayavg 12.7¢	$39.36	—	-$39.36
└ Argentina leg	Argentinaavg 47.6¢	$12.04	$25.26	+$13.22
LO looppau<$100	Argentinaavg 99.9¢	$21.83	$21.85	+$0.02	100% 592-0 (592)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Uruguayavg 4.1¢	$6.68	—	-$6.68	45% 224-272 (496)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Uruguayavg 49.7¢	$66.31	—	-$66.31	48% 852-928 (1780)
dips.CTR<$100	Uruguayavg 11.4¢	$11.27	—	-$11.27	47% 860-963 (1823)
poshposhCTR<$100	Uruguayavg 11.8¢	$8.16	—	-$8.16	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Uruguayavg 50¢	$24.89	—	-$24.89	36% 890-1596 (2486)
CC ccllarCTR<$100	Uruguayavg 52.2¢	$19.85	—	-$19.85	42% 48-67 (115)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Uruguayavg 14.9¢	$1.64	—	-$1.64	45% 706-873 (1579)