Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Argentina vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Over 55%
$14.1K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 45.9¢ | $6.4K | $10.9K | +$4.5K | 56% 5043-4004 (9047) |
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 38.9¢ | $657.4 | $1.7K | +$1.0K | 48% 852-928 (1780) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 39.9¢ | $180.42 | $442.66 | +$262.24 | 36% 910-1584 (2494) |
LI Limousin | Underavg 45.1¢ | $158.56 | $351.47 | +$192.91 | 36% 879-1566 (2445) |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 43¢ | $109.82 | $255.47 | +$145.65 | 37% 924-1557 (2481) |
 dips.CTR | Overavg 46.3¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 47% 860-963 (1823) |
SM smithagent | Underavg 94¢ | $382.87 | $155.85 | -$61.87 | 44% 599-749 (1348) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 30.8¢ | $41.03 | $133.3 | +$92.27 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Underavg 38¢ | $35.68 | $93.9 | +$58.22 | 36% 890-1596 (2486) |
SH Shimi1234CTR | Overavg 64.3¢ | $4.0K | — | $-4.0K | 29% 7-17 (24) |
 lma0o0o0o<$100 | Underavg 61¢ | $38.07 | $62.41 | +$24.34 | 54% 38-33 (71) |
 poshposhCTR | Overavg 42.4¢ | $373.81 | — | -$373.81 | 48% 1014-1100 (2114) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Overavg 49.9¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
CI cigarettesCTR | Overavg 24.4¢ | $192.89 | — | -$192.89 | 53% 6885-6020 (12905) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Overavg 68.2¢ | $511.5 | — | -$511.5 | 53% 1179-1029 (2208) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 19¢ | $30.95 | — | -$30.95 | 35% 424-772 (1196) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 53.4¢ | $45.59 | — | -$45.59 | 45% 706-873 (1579) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $36.18 | — | -$36.18 | 46% 2333-2789 (5122) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Overavg 67¢ | $23.65 | — | -$23.65 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $4.84 | — | -$4.84 | 39% 293-459 (752) |
RN1Invested
$6,373.26
Value
$10.9K
PnL
+$4.5K
Record
56%
5043-4004 (9047)
Invested
$657.4
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.0K
Record
48%
852-928 (1780)
Invested
$180.42
Value
$442.66
PnL
+$262.24
Record
36%
910-1584 (2494)
Invested
$158.56
Value
$351.47
PnL
+$192.91
Record
36%
879-1566 (2445)
Invested
$109.82
Value
$255.47
PnL
+$145.65
Record
37%
924-1557 (2481)
dips.CTRInvested
$1,110.17
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
47%
860-963 (1823)
Invested
$382.87
Value
$155.85
PnL
-$61.87
Record
44%
599-749 (1348)
Invested
$41.03
Value
$133.3
PnL
+$92.27
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
Invested
$35.68
Value
$93.9
PnL
+$58.22
Record
36%
890-1596 (2486)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.0K
Record
29%
7-17 (24)
lma0o0o0o<$100Invested
$38.07
Value
$62.41
PnL
+$24.34
Record
54%
38-33 (71)
poshposhCTRInvested
$373.81
Value
—
PnL
-$373.81
Record
48%
1014-1100 (2114)
Invested
$1,102.55
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
Invested
$192.89
Value
—
PnL
-$192.89
Record
53%
6885-6020 (12905)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$511.5
Value
—
PnL
-$511.5
Record
53%
1179-1029 (2208)
Invested
$30.95
Value
—
PnL
-$30.95
Record
35%
424-772 (1196)
Invested
$45.59
Value
—
PnL
-$45.59
Record
45%
706-873 (1579)
Invested
$36.18
Value
—
PnL
-$36.18
Record
46%
2333-2789 (5122)
Invested
$23.65
Value
—
PnL
-$23.65
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
Invested
$4.84
Value
—
PnL
-$4.84
Record
39%
293-459 (752)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Under — $10.9K
SnakeBall
Under — $1.7K
LightParadox
Under — $442.66
Limousin
Under — $351.47
MadridTime
Under — $255.47
dips.
CTROver — $0
smithagent
Under — $155.85
Flaznorp
Under — $133.3
Venusian
Under — $93.9
Shimi1234
CTROver — $0