Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Argentina vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Yes 56%
4 arb excluded
$9.1K
-$307.59
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | Noavg 49.4¢ | $5.6K | $1.5K | $-4.1K | 56% 5043-4004 (9047) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 49.4¢ | $5.1K | — | $-5.1K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 32¢ | $486.4 | $1.5K | +$1.0K | |
 ZaiZoiBele | Yesavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.1K | +$30.51 | 20% 57-231 (288) |
TO topdogbigboi | Yesavg 50.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.7K | +$552.55 | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 51.9¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 53% 1179-1029 (2208) |
SN SnakeBallARB<$100 | Yesavg 31¢ | $384.38 | $688.89 | +$304.52 | 48% 852-928 (1780) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 31¢ | $213.56 | $688.89 | +$475.34 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 41.2¢ | $170.82 | — | -$170.82 | |
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 21.1¢ | $111.84 | $508.8 | +$396.96 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
LI LightParadoxARB<$100 | Noavg 42.5¢ | $343.27 | $192.7 | -$150.58 | 36% 910-1584 (2494) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 42.5¢ | $254.63 | — | -$254.63 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 46¢ | $88.64 | $192.7 | +$104.06 | |
 alpheclabs2 | Yesavg 32¢ | $131.2 | $410 | +$278.8 | 45% 258-310 (568) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Noavg 42.2¢ | $238.14 | $95.48 | -$142.66 | 36% 879-1566 (2445) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 42.2¢ | $195.66 | — | -$195.66 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 44.5¢ | $42.48 | $95.48 | +$53 | |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Yesavg 99¢ | $305.48 | $308.57 | +$3.09 | 98% 420-7 (427) |
SU suntori | Yesavg 44.8¢ | $138.08 | $307.89 | +$169.81 | 46% 2333-2789 (5122) |
 poshposh | Yesavg 35.7¢ | $70.24 | $166.16 | +$95.92 | 48% 1014-1100 (2114) |
FO forecastication4CTR | Noavg 50¢ | $169.5 | — | -$169.5 | 32% 146-304 (450) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 43.4¢ | $137.91 | — | -$137.91 | 37% 924-1557 (2481) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 53.4¢ | $42.19 | $70.8 | +$28.61 | 45% 706-873 (1579) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 52¢ | $47.84 | — | -$47.84 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Noavg 45.8¢ | $23.18 | — | -$23.18 | 37% 497-832 (1329) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Noavg 37.8¢ | $9.45 | — | -$9.45 | 36% 890-1596 (2486) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | $1.58 | $8.32 | +$6.74 | 35% 424-772 (1196) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $8.42 | — | -$8.42 | 60% 702-476 (1178) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100 | Noavg 52¢ | $42.88 | — | +$0 | 59% 491-339 (830) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$5,628.03
Value
$1.5K
PnL
$-4.1K
Record
56%
5043-4004 (9047)
Both legs:
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$3,020.18
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$30.51
Record
20%
57-231 (288)
Invested
$1,191.5
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$552.55
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,474.27
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
53%
1179-1029 (2208)
Invested
$384.38
Value
$688.89
PnL
+$304.52
Record
48%
852-928 (1780)
Both legs:
Invested
$111.84
Value
$508.8
PnL
+$396.96
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
Invested
$343.27
Value
$192.7
PnL
-$150.58
Record
36%
910-1584 (2494)
Both legs:
alpheclabs2Invested
$131.2
Value
$410
PnL
+$278.8
Record
45%
258-310 (568)
Invested
$238.14
Value
$95.48
PnL
-$142.66
Record
36%
879-1566 (2445)
Both legs:
Invested
$305.48
Value
$308.57
PnL
+$3.09
Record
98%
420-7 (427)
Invested
$138.08
Value
$307.89
PnL
+$169.81
Record
46%
2333-2789 (5122)
poshposhInvested
$70.24
Value
$166.16
PnL
+$95.92
Record
48%
1014-1100 (2114)
Invested
$169.5
Value
—
PnL
-$169.5
Record
32%
146-304 (450)
Invested
$137.91
Value
—
PnL
-$137.91
Record
37%
924-1557 (2481)
Invested
$42.19
Value
$70.8
PnL
+$28.61
Record
45%
706-873 (1579)
Invested
$47.84
Value
—
PnL
-$47.84
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
Invested
$23.18
Value
—
PnL
-$23.18
Record
37%
497-832 (1329)
Invested
$9.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.45
Record
36%
890-1596 (2486)
Invested
$1.58
Value
$8.32
PnL
+$6.74
Record
35%
424-772 (1196)
Invested
$8.42
Value
—
PnL
-$8.42
Record
60%
702-476 (1178)
Invested
$42.88
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
491-339 (830)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ZaiZoiBele
Yes — $3.1K
topdogbigboi
Yes — $1.7K
VeryLucky888
CTRNo — $0
SnakeBall
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Flaznorp
Yes — $508.8
LightParadox
ARBArbitrage — excluded
alpheclabs2
Yes — $410
Limousin
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Yes — $308.57