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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 6:00 AM ET?

Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Yes 71%

Total Value

$4.6K

Combined PnL

-$471.79

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes12 traders

Total Value$4.6K

Total Shares4,594

Combined PnL+$1.1K

No5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,928

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Yes — 71%No — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f	Yesavg 65¢	$1.8K	$2.4K	+$563.05	— 4-1 (5)
SA SaylorMoon	Yesavg 81¢	$648	$800	+$152	4% 2-53 (55)
Car	Yesavg 96.9¢	$266.86	$275.36	+$8.5	68% 1406-651 (2057)
Relaccsed	Yesavg 80.6¢	$218.54	$271.3	+$52.76	79% 22-6 (28)
Tenebrus7	Yesavg 81.7¢	$572	$262.5	+$51.88	10% 5-44 (49)
88 881112	Yesavg 63¢	$253.5	$250	+$96.5	1% 4-423 (427)
Nostdam	Yesavg 70.8¢	$165.66	$234.05	+$68.4	10% 13-116 (129)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Yesavg 62¢	$52.44	$73.48	+$28.21	39% 3605-5672 (9277)
probability<$100	Yesavg 96.1¢	$54.3	$56.49	+$2.19	42% 20-28 (48)
FL Flobodan<$100	Yesavg 71.7¢	$14.33	$20	+$5.67	— 2-6 (8)
HoshinoAI	Yesavg 62¢	$149.16	$0.01	-$2.01	29% 20-48 (68)
CH ChuDebbieSharp	Yesavg 75.9¢	$213.23	$0.01	+$50.74	— 1-0 (1)
paddaaCTR	Noavg 22¢	$230	—	-$115.33	60% 503-336 (839)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Noavg 35¢	$38.85	—	-$1.11	10% 15-132 (147)
HorribleWorkCTR	Noavg 33.4¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	0% 0-78 (78)
Contentious-DinnerdateCTR	Noavg 17¢	$356.33	—	-$356.33	— 12-2 (14)
DO dogerfadCTR<$100	Noavg 31¢	$3.16	—	-$3.16	— 4-2 (6)

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Invested

$1,787.95

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$563.05

Record

—

4-1 (5)

Invested

$648

Value

$800

PnL

+$152

Record

4%

2-53 (55)

Invested

$266.86

Value

$275.36

PnL

+$8.5

Record

68%

1406-651 (2057)

Invested

$218.54

Value

$271.3

PnL

+$52.76

Record

79%

22-6 (28)

Invested

$572

Value

$262.5

PnL

+$51.88

Record

10%

5-44 (49)

Invested

$253.5

Value

$250

PnL

+$96.5

Record

1%

4-423 (427)

Invested

$165.66

Value

$234.05

PnL

+$68.4

Record

10%

13-116 (129)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

$52.44

Value

$73.48

PnL

+$28.21

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

probability<$100

Invested

$54.3

Value

$56.49

PnL

+$2.19

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

Invested

$14.33

Value

$20

PnL

+$5.67

Record

—

2-6 (8)

Invested

$149.16

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$2.01

Record

29%

20-48 (68)

Invested

$213.23

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$50.74

Record

—

1-0 (1)

Invested

$230

Value

—

PnL

-$115.33

Record

60%

503-336 (839)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

$38.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.11

Record

10%

15-132 (147)

HorribleWorkCTR

Invested

$1,074.89

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

0%

0-78 (78)

Contentious-DinnerdateCTR

Invested

$356.33

Value

—

PnL

-$356.33

Record

—

12-2 (14)

dogerfadCTR<$100

Invested

$3.16

Value

—

PnL

-$3.16

Record

—

4-2 (6)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa24e5028...cc564a

Slug

faa-nationwide-ground-stop-lifted-by-november-14-6am-et

Traders in this Market

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Yes — $2.4K

SaylorMoon

Yes — $800

Car

Yes — $275.36

Relaccsed

Yes — $271.3

Tenebrus7

Yes — $262.5

881112

Yes — $250

Nostdam

Yes — $234.05

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $73.48

probability

Yes — $56.49

Flobodan

Yes — $20

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