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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 2:00 AM ET?

Resolved Yes. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Yes 70%

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

$12.51

Smart Money Signal

Yes

11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes11 traders

Total Value$3.2K

Total Shares3,232

Combined PnL+$597.3

No6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,220

Combined PnL-$584.78

Yes — 65%No — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4	Yesavg 99.2¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$9.28	— 7-7 (14)
PA PacersThreeandahalf	Yesavg 99.9¢	$639.99	$640.63	+$0.64	61% 1027-652 (1679)
clazzy1	Yesavg 68¢	$339.99	$499.99	+$160	10% 5-44 (49)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Yesavg 85.1¢	$366.73	$376.88	+$53.08	39% 3605-5672 (9277)
realbengvir	Yesavg 96.9¢	$411.5	$363.88	-$47.62	5% 1-20 (21)
probability	Yesavg 51¢	$88.5	$173.52	+$85.02	42% 20-28 (48)
Car<$100	Yesavg 61.8¢	$26.53	$42.95	+$16.42	68% 1406-651 (2057)
HI hithitfar<$100	Yesavg 84¢	$19.73	$0.5	-$2.67	— 13-4 (17)
HoshinoAI<$100	Yesavg 40¢	$23.96	$0	-$8.85	29% 20-48 (68)
FL Flobodan<$100	Yesavg 55¢	$22	$0	+$10	— 2-6 (8)
paddaaCTR	Noavg 38¢	$100	—	+$55.25	60% 503-336 (839)
HorribleWorkCTR	Noavg 58.1¢	$245.57	—	-$245.15	0% 0-78 (78)
LolakisCTR	Noavg 32¢	$160	—	-$135	20% 8-32 (40)
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR	Noavg 14.4¢	$143.69	—	-$143.69	— 4-1 (5)
88 881112CTR<$100	Noavg 55¢	$55	—	-$55	1% 4-423 (427)
smellyEllie	Yesavg 53¢	$371	—	+$322	41% 9-13 (22)
LO lovefieldCTR<$100	Noavg 31¢	$62	—	-$61.19	19% 10-44 (54)

0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4

Invested

$1,124.32

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$9.28

Record

—

7-7 (14)

PacersThreeandahalf

Invested

$639.99

Value

$640.63

PnL

+$0.64

Record

61%

1027-652 (1679)

Invested

$339.99

Value

$499.99

PnL

+$160

Record

10%

5-44 (49)

xtxpleasecallme

Invested

$366.73

Value

$376.88

PnL

+$53.08

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

Invested

$411.5

Value

$363.88

PnL

-$47.62

Record

5%

1-20 (21)

Invested

$88.5

Value

$173.52

PnL

+$85.02

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

Invested

$26.53

Value

$42.95

PnL

+$16.42

Record

68%

1406-651 (2057)

Invested

$19.73

Value

$0.5

PnL

-$2.67

Record

—

13-4 (17)

Invested

$23.96

Value

$0

PnL

-$8.85

Record

29%

20-48 (68)

Invested

$22

Value

$0

PnL

+$10

Record

—

2-6 (8)

Invested

$100

Value

—

PnL

+$55.25

Record

60%

503-336 (839)

HorribleWorkCTR

Invested

$245.57

Value

—

PnL

-$245.15

Record

0%

0-78 (78)

Invested

$160

Value

—

PnL

-$135

Record

20%

8-32 (40)

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR

Invested

$143.69

Value

—

PnL

-$143.69

Record

—

4-1 (5)

Invested

$55

Value

—

PnL

-$55

Record

1%

4-423 (427)

Invested

$371

Value

—

PnL

+$322

Record

41%

9-13 (22)

lovefieldCTR<$100

Invested

$62

Value

—

PnL

-$61.19

Record

19%

10-44 (54)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x54ec290c...ff47c1

Slug

faa-nationwide-ground-stop-lifted-by-november-14-2am-et

Traders in this Market

0xecb1d3b9d240a8347415108882cb8fa1f7e2f1c4

Yes — $1.1K

PacersThreeandahalf

Yes — $640.63

clazzy1

Yes — $499.99

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $376.88

realbengvir

Yes — $363.88

probability

Yes — $173.52

Car

Yes — $42.95

hithitfar

Yes — $0.5

HoshinoAI

Yes — $0

Flobodan

Yes — $0

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