Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 15, 12:00 AM ET?
Resolved Yes. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Yes 62%
$12.1K
$217.83
Smart Money Signal
10 of 17 top traders (59%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SA SaylorMoon | Yesavg 96.5¢ | $5.1K | $5.3K | +$184.45 | 4% 2-53 (55) |
CI cigarettes | Yesavg 94.2¢ | $2.9K | $3.0K | +$175.84 | 53% 6903-6063 (12966) |
 probability | Yesavg 99¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$24.26 | 42% 20-28 (48) |
 Car | Yesavg 98.6¢ | $1.3K | $861.59 | +$9.94 | 68% 1406-651 (2057) |
 Tenebrus7 | Yesavg 94.2¢ | $847.65 | $337.54 | +$26.64 | 10% 5-44 (49) |
DO dogerfad | Yesavg 94¢ | $94 | $100 | +$6 | — 4-2 (6) |
NO nonkenny90<$100 | Yesavg 97.1¢ | $93.22 | $96 | +$2.78 | — 17-2 (19) |
NO NotJump | Yesavg 95.7¢ | $517.37 | $36.51 | +$6.5 | 53% 759-682 (1441) |
 Haradwaith | Yesavg 94.6¢ | $494.07 | $0.01 | +$7.01 | 31% 146-327 (473) |
 HoshinoAI | Yesavg 97.5¢ | $802.67 | $0.01 | -$10.05 | 29% 20-48 (68) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR | Noavg 0.9¢ | $1.9K | $0 | +$56.08 | 65% 4292-2315 (6607) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR | Noavg 3.1¢ | $145.41 | — | +$0.86 | 39% 3605-5672 (9277) |
 paddaaCTR<$100 | Noavg 6.6¢ | $40 | — | -$40 | 60% 503-336 (839) |
 HorribleWorkCTR | Noavg 6.8¢ | $231.86 | — | -$229.09 | 0% 0-78 (78) |
0X 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | $9.95 | — | -$9.95 | — 4-1 (5) |
CH ChuDebbieSharpCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.5¢ | $12.5 | — | +$8.52 | — 1-0 (1) |
OK okcoolstorybroCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.6¢ | $37.69 | — | -$1.95 | — 6-5 (11) |
Invested
$5,105.67
Value
$5.3K
PnL
+$184.45
Record
4%
2-53 (55)
Invested
$2,871.72
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$175.84
Record
53%
6903-6063 (12966)
probabilityInvested
$2,323.19
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$24.26
Record
42%
20-28 (48)
CarInvested
$1,296.75
Value
$861.59
PnL
+$9.94
Record
68%
1406-651 (2057)
Tenebrus7Invested
$847.65
Value
$337.54
PnL
+$26.64
Record
10%
5-44 (49)
Invested
$94
Value
$100
PnL
+$6
Record
—
4-2 (6)
Invested
$93.22
Value
$96
PnL
+$2.78
Record
—
17-2 (19)
Invested
$517.37
Value
$36.51
PnL
+$6.5
Record
53%
759-682 (1441)
HaradwaithInvested
$494.07
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$7.01
Record
31%
146-327 (473)
HoshinoAIInvested
$802.67
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$10.05
Record
29%
20-48 (68)
Invested
$1,912.11
Value
$0
PnL
+$56.08
Record
65%
4292-2315 (6607)
Invested
$145.41
Value
—
PnL
+$0.86
Record
39%
3605-5672 (9277)
paddaaCTR<$100Invested
$40
Value
—
PnL
-$40
Record
60%
503-336 (839)
HorribleWorkCTRInvested
$231.86
Value
—
PnL
-$229.09
Record
0%
0-78 (78)
Invested
$9.95
Value
—
PnL
-$9.95
Record
—
4-1 (5)
Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
+$8.52
Record
—
1-0 (1)
Invested
$37.69
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
—
6-5 (11)